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Why the US population boom became a bust
Reuters ^ | May 27, 2026 | Howard Schneider and Sarah Slobin

Posted on 06/16/2026 9:08:11 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican

U.S. residents are aging and having fewer babies, with fertility rates at a record low and trailing what’s needed for the population to replace itself, part of a widespread global trend with deep economic consequences.

With President Donald Trump’s tough limits on immigration, and his effort to deport some immigrants already in the country, the U.S. may be heading for an era when the median age continues to drift up and the population eventually starts to fall each year. That would be a first for a country built by waves of religious, economic and political refugees from around the world. Economic stress on social safety nets may follow.

For most of U.S. history, more people were born each year than died. That “natural increase” has been slowing as big generations like the post-World War Two Baby Boomers aged and the generations that followed had fewer babies.

Current projections show that by around 2030, deaths will exceed births each year. Immigration, which could offset that, has become politically fraught, falling dramatically under Trump.

Should current trends hold, overall population growth is heading to zero.

The net result: Population growth has already slowed to a crawl. Since 2020, the U.S. population has increased by an average of 0.6% per year, about a third of the pace during the 1950s, in the middle of the 1946-1964 baby boom that gave the “Boomer” generation their nickname. Most of that meager growth has come from immigration. With Trump, that has been thrown into reverse and the U.S. population is on track to flatline around 2050.

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: Society
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To: Carry_Okie

Americans workers are the lowerest paid and the most productive workers in history. Until that gap closes population growth will suffer.


21 posted on 06/16/2026 9:47:27 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: T.B. Yoits

At 350 mil we will be good for a while longer.....


22 posted on 06/16/2026 9:48:03 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: escapefromboston

There is a difference between importing conservative Catholic and Pentecostal Mexicans and importing Somali “refugees”.
Common Sense immigration is good...good for all concerned.

But allowing anybody and everybody in makes no sense.
Keeping anybody and everybody out makes no sense.


23 posted on 06/16/2026 9:48:57 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: ek_hornbeck

I will start to pay attention to this nothing burger when wages for the average worker doubles.


24 posted on 06/16/2026 9:50:24 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: central_va

Supply and demand dictate that if the labor market shrinks, wages will rise. That’s why Tech Oligarchs like Muskrat and Ellison obsess over shrinking populations or zero growth - they want a massive pool of workers competing with one another for the lowest possible wages - by importing as many of them if necessary.


25 posted on 06/16/2026 9:51:59 AM PDT by ek_hornbeck
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To: MinorityRepublican

Blame the phones.


26 posted on 06/16/2026 9:54:25 AM PDT by x
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To: ek_hornbeck

Its called the rat race. More rats the faster the pace.


27 posted on 06/16/2026 9:54:43 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: central_va

Another Freeper (who uses some variation on Nathan Bedford Forrest’s name as a handle) has made a strong case for why low population densities facilitate self-government and liberty while high population densities lead to oligarchy and bloated bureaucracy. I agree with this view, and don’t think the US has any need to have the population densities of India or China, contra the Tech Oligarchs and their cheerleaders like the repulsive Matthew Yglesias.


28 posted on 06/16/2026 9:58:09 AM PDT by ek_hornbeck
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To: ek_hornbeck
These type of stories are just propaganda designed to bring in more Third World immigrants.

There is much more to it than that. Birth rates declining below 2 indicates a declining population. The institutions of society decline under those situation as does the quality of the citizens. History has shown that declining birth rates herald civilization collapse. Combined with other indications of collapse, Western Civilization is definitely undergoing collapse, and the process is accelerating.

29 posted on 06/16/2026 10:05:39 AM PDT by GingisK
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To: MinorityRepublican

Where is it ‘decreed’ that our population “must” increase every year? This isn’t the 1950’s anymore. With the advent of technology and all of the displacement we are told is going to be caused by AI, we should pump the brakes on population growth and especially immigration, both legal and illegal. We simply don’t need a half billion people in the US, especially with the majority of immigrants collecting some form of public assistance. If anything, we should be picking up the pace on deportations.


30 posted on 06/16/2026 10:06:08 AM PDT by American Infidel (Instead of vilifying success, try to emulate it)
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To: GingisK

By this logic, Sub-Saharan Africa with its sky-high population growth (i.e. average of 6+ children per woman in many countries) should be a thriving economic powerhouse. Instead, the growth just breeds more poverty.


31 posted on 06/16/2026 10:07:12 AM PDT by ek_hornbeck
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To: GingisK
History has shown that declining birth rates herald civilization collapse. Combined with other indications of collapse, Western Civilization is definitely undergoing collapse, and the process is accelerating.

Happening everywhere. Not just the West.

32 posted on 06/16/2026 10:08:40 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Liars.

No Republican is against immigration. We’re against ILLEGAL ALIENS, who are not, and never have been, immigrants.


33 posted on 06/16/2026 10:08:41 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (The greatest power the media has is the power to ignore.)
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To: GingisK
Not really, look at Europe after the black plague. There is a period of prosperity and high birth rate because resources are abundant.
34 posted on 06/16/2026 10:11:41 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: MinorityRepublican
The net result: Population growth has already slowed to a crawl.

America can over come the negative birth rate by opening the border to LEGAL, SELECTIVE, VETTED IMMIGRANTS.

My Grandparents on both sides came from Italy and Chechs back in the late 1890s, but they all worked hard and there was zero freebies...it was produce or starve.

The free stuff of the demonRATs is what is destroying the USA.

35 posted on 06/16/2026 10:13:37 AM PDT by USS Alaska (NUKE THE MOOSELIMB TERRORISTS)
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To: ek_hornbeck
Instead, the growth just breeds more poverty.

A population must make use of its brains and natural resources. With a lack of natural resources, the brain should say "Move to a different place". They don't really have a civilization to begin with, do they?

36 posted on 06/16/2026 10:14:06 AM PDT by GingisK
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To: MinorityRepublican
Happening everywhere.

That is a frightening fact.

37 posted on 06/16/2026 10:15:17 AM PDT by GingisK
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To: central_va
...look at Europe after the black plague...

Absolutely! They were people who actually wanted to thrive. Something seems to have gone out of modern people, and with it a willingness to contribute to the whole. Or something.

38 posted on 06/16/2026 10:18:03 AM PDT by GingisK
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To: MinorityRepublican
“Hamstrung” with ONLY 1/3 of today's population, the USA invaded Europe, crushed fascism and conquered the Japanese empire. We had a 2,000 ship Navy in 1945. Go figure.
39 posted on 06/16/2026 10:18:22 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: central_va

Labor became valuable after the black plague, so many peasants and craftsmen were lifted out of poverty.


40 posted on 06/16/2026 10:26:43 AM PDT by ek_hornbeck
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