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Breaking: New UK special election poll
X ^ | June 12 | PolitlcsUK

Posted on 06/12/2026 1:53:37 PM PDT by RandFan

BREAKING: Another Makerfield by-election poll has been released

πŸ”΄ LAB - 45%

➑️ REF - 40%

🟣 RES - 8%

🟒 GRN - 3%

πŸ”΅ CON - 2%

🟠 LD - 1%

Via More in Common, 515 sample, 28 May - 12 June

(Excerpt) Read more at x.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Conspiracy
KEYWORDS:

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This is the third poll showing a split vote (Reform/Restore).

It's getting closer though.

Sigh......

1 posted on 06/12/2026 1:53:37 PM PDT by RandFan
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To: RandFan

Ugh


2 posted on 06/12/2026 1:59:28 PM PDT by dinodino ( Shut it down anyway. )
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To: RandFan

Didn’t they just have a very similar vote in UK?
It sure seems that way.


3 posted on 06/12/2026 2:00:50 PM PDT by lee martell
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To: RandFan

BS! But since the UK probably has a better fraud machine than us the Brits are phukt.


4 posted on 06/12/2026 2:01:49 PM PDT by Wilderness Conservative (Death to the DEATH TO AMERICA, Democrats.)
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To: RandFan

What is the restore party?


5 posted on 06/12/2026 2:03:54 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (RL)
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To: RandFan

➑️ REF - 40%

🟣 RES - 8%

πŸ”΅ CON - 2%

50% for the rightist parties in this heavily Labour district. And they could win if they were not divided. Clearly, Reform is the only choice in this district to defeat Labour...the voters need to realize this and unite around the Reform candidate.


6 posted on 06/12/2026 2:04:22 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Republican Wildcat

They should get the message but Restore are campaigning also heavily, etc.


7 posted on 06/12/2026 2:06:36 PM PDT by RandFan
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To: lee martell

This is a vacant House of Commons seat - made vacant to give a new potential Labour leader a seat to provide a new “popular” prime minister for them to improve their standing. Some polls show with him as the Labour leader, they would in fact improve their popularity.

This is supposed to be a “safe” Labour seat - but it appears he can be defeated if the right would avoid splitting their votes.


8 posted on 06/12/2026 2:07:45 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Wilderness Conservative; Republican Wildcat

It’s all hand counted on the night (paper ballots etc) and results released at like 1-2am

Say what you will but that is the way to do it

No machines and no calling.


9 posted on 06/12/2026 2:14:28 PM PDT by RandFan
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To: RandFan

I’m surprised Labor is that high


10 posted on 06/12/2026 2:19:34 PM PDT by bwest
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To: RandFan

They need 50% to form a government. Reform/Restore/Con would do it. I can’t see Labor being able to get 50% and I don’t trust that poll.


11 posted on 06/12/2026 2:20:04 PM PDT by packrat35 (β€œWhen discourse ends, violence begins.” – Charlie Kirk, and they killed him anyway)
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To: RandFan; All

That riding is 97 percent White.

If Reform and Fagage can’t even get to 50% there, they are ever going to win and should stand down.


12 posted on 06/12/2026 2:20:53 PM PDT by Reverend Wright ( Anschluss now !)
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To: packrat35

Ignore my post, I see this is the special election seat, not a national election.


13 posted on 06/12/2026 2:21:25 PM PDT by packrat35 (β€œWhen discourse ends, violence begins.” – Charlie Kirk, and they killed him anyway)
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To: packrat35

Hey no worries, this is a special on June 18 in a particular district. It’s close


14 posted on 06/12/2026 2:25:39 PM PDT by RandFan
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To: Reverend Wright

Yes but the split is the danger. They’re all campaigning hard in the district


15 posted on 06/12/2026 2:26:49 PM PDT by RandFan
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To: bwest

Well, its been Labour for 100 years LOL

But, they’re unpopular so could lose it


16 posted on 06/12/2026 2:27:39 PM PDT by RandFan
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To: for-q-clinton

β€œ What is the restore party?”

The actual conservatives


17 posted on 06/12/2026 2:28:27 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Assez de mensonges et des phrases)
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To: RandFan

So Restore Britain may end up playing the spoiler, keeping Labor in this seat. And this could play out on a larger scale in future elections. Sometimes we are our own worst enemy.


18 posted on 06/12/2026 2:32:34 PM PDT by ETCM (β€œThere is no security, no safety, in the appeasement of evil.” β€” Ronald Reagan)
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To: All

The wild card? Starmer may want Reform to win this particular election so he’ll get to keep his job and Burnham won’t be able to challenge him for the PM because they won’t be able to seat him in the Parliament.


19 posted on 06/12/2026 2:38:44 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Republican Wildcat

“the voters need to realize this and unite “

No different than us. In Jan 2021 It was MAGA Loefler & MAGA Walker vs Dem Ossoff and Warnock. MAGA in NE GA stayed home and refused to vote...apparently because the MAGA candidates sought the votes of allies who were not MAGA. So the Dems won.

The same could happen in Nov. Outgoing Republican governor KEMP has the organization. If his man Dooley wins the runoff and is on the ballot in Nov then Kemp’s machine will produce. But the speculation is that if Dooley does not win then Kemp’s machine will sit this one out.

Republicans are a coalition of which MAGA is the biggest part. MAGA is a coalition of those who don’t agree with each other on every issue.

Independents who are neither R nor D are bigger than either R or D. To win, the R coalition or D coalition must also get the independents not in their coalition.

Politics is not like a monogamous marriage.


20 posted on 06/12/2026 2:45:33 PM PDT by spintreebob
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