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Republicans Set To Best Democrats in Mid-Decade Redistricting Battle
Realclearpolitics ^

Posted on 05/01/2026 7:05:17 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET

The fun kicked off in Texas last July, following President Trump's urging, pushed the Texas Legislature to redistrict the Lone Star State's congressional map in a pro-GOP direction. Missouri and North Carolina soon followed, prompting California Gov. Gavin Newsom to get in on the action: Golden State voters approved the use of a new map last November. Virginia voters narrowly approved a new congressional map that heavily favors Democrats. This week, Florida responded with a Gov. Ron DeSantis-led redistricting that heavily favors Republicans. In the interim, some other states, such as Ohio and Utah, redistricted for non-voluntary reasons such as litigation or statutory requirement. Indiana, famously defied Trump and refused to voluntarily redraw their maps.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: redistricting

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We got 6 months to fix these maps. Looks good for us even in Virginia. Indiana is like the skunk at the garden party. Find out who their GOP turncoats are.

The democrats are like Iran-at war with us. The republicans are like every POTUS that wouldn't acknowledge this war. It takes a Trump to put a stop to it.

1 posted on 05/01/2026 7:05:17 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Who are the Dade Phelan’s in Indiana? Can somebody there name names?


2 posted on 05/01/2026 7:06:23 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: DIRTYSECRET
"Indiana is like the skunk at the garden party."

Same bunch that gave us Mike Pence.

3 posted on 05/01/2026 7:13:29 AM PDT by Tench_Coxe (The woke were surprised by the reaction to the Bud Light fiasco. May there be many more surprises)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

The democrats have Plan B , C , D etc etc etc ready to go to screw things up


4 posted on 05/01/2026 7:15:58 AM PDT by butlerweave (Fateh)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

In the next 10-20 years if the Republicans play this right can gain control over congress for a generation or more, look at where people are moving and where they are moving from.

Red states, especially Southern Red States are gaining people, blue states are losing population which means more electoral votes and members in Congress for Red States.

Florida was cheated out of 1-2 seats in the 2020 census, in the 2030 census, Florida could get 2-4 more seats in Congress, if the Republicans in Florida don’t screw it up, all those new seats will be Republicans.

Florida with the new redistricting is 24-4 Republican, it would be 27-28 to 4 after 2030...


5 posted on 05/01/2026 7:20:13 AM PDT by srmanuel
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To: Tench_Coxe

Mississippi, Alabama and Tennessee, just announced they are taking a look at their maps.


6 posted on 05/01/2026 7:21:03 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy (That's)
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To: DIRTYSECRET
I count 12 districts that are majority minority or plurality minority in non Florida, Missouri and Texas Southern States. The 3 states excluded have already redistricted and are thus already counted.

Tennessee = 1

Louisiana = 2

South Carolina = 1

Alabama = 2

Mississippi = 1

Georgia = 5

These could all go away and Republicans *could* pick up another dozen seats in the House. Right now, Republicans lead 13-10 in redistricting and that's if you count Virginia's 4 seats which is currently suspended. Strip out those 4 and Republicans have a 7 seat edge and could gain another 12. This would make it very difficult for Democrats to win the House.

7 posted on 05/01/2026 7:26:35 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: srmanuel

North Carolina and Alabama were each cheated out of a seat as well and Texas was cheated out of 2 more in addition to Florida.


8 posted on 05/01/2026 7:27:35 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: FLT-bird
Strip out those 4 and Republicans have a 7 seat edge and could gain another 12. This would make it very difficult for Democrats to win the House.

The GOP will work extra hard to make sure we don't keep the House so they can go back to doing nothing except going on the cocktail circuit and speechifying about how terrible it what the demoncraps are doing.

9 posted on 05/01/2026 7:32:31 AM PDT by Sirius Lee ("Never argue with a fool, onlookers may not be able to tell the difference.)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

The vote in Indiana wasn’t even close. The RINO’s there totally caved to the democrats,,,,,,really sad for a solid red state.


10 posted on 05/01/2026 7:32:36 AM PDT by volare737 ( Diversity is something to be overcome, not celebrated.)
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To: volare737

Perhaps the 2030 census will be correct and a ‘fair’ districting map could be accomplished using AI. What’s important is the state legislatures going majority red. Hopefully Trump’s economy and the deportation of gang-bangers will have positive effect on the voters. As the left is getting crazier we have to be aware of the fact that some states turn so blue there is no return. Think Colorado and NM. Then there’s the highly visible homeless encampments. We’ve got 4 years to empty them with no help from the left.


11 posted on 05/01/2026 7:42:32 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: volare737

There should be a map for RINOs.


12 posted on 05/01/2026 7:49:11 AM PDT by Mr. N. Wolfe
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To: volare737

There was little popular support in Indiana for redoing the maps mid-stream. The voters did not want it and were pretty upfront about it. They don’t have a problem with making changes after the 2030 census though. The new USSC ruling may change that. But we only have 2 dem seats now and neither would be easy to undo without major gerrymandering.


13 posted on 05/01/2026 7:52:47 AM PDT by redangus
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To: redangus

2030 Census should not count Illegal Aliens. That is a decision currently pending at SCOTUS.


14 posted on 05/01/2026 7:55:06 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy (That's)
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To: redangus

It was still doable since Republicans control the House, Senate and the Governor’s office. Trump, Vance (who made a trip there). and Braun supported it, however the RINO’s in the Senate simply caved.


15 posted on 05/01/2026 8:02:03 AM PDT by volare737 ( Diversity is something to be overcome, not celebrated.)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Don’t know but I will vote against Jim Buck next week.


16 posted on 05/01/2026 8:57:53 AM PDT by pas
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To: butlerweave

Well said. The Democrats understand the game. MAGA doesn’t.

On both sides there were districts that were 70-30 and 30-70. With the redrawn lines, the districts are not 52-48 and 48-52.

The goal of the Democrat ground game is to flip those competitive districts. MAGA has no ground game...nothing to compete with the Democrats.


17 posted on 05/01/2026 9:05:54 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: spintreebob

Our side is too apathetic.


18 posted on 05/01/2026 9:06:59 AM PDT by dfwgator ("I am Charlie Kirk!")
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To: redangus

The fact is, Indiana has very contiguous, very compact, very fair looking districts. The one Democrat representative who is black has a nearly perfectly rectangular district. The other Democrat who is white has a pretty compact district, the 1st District, but if you look at it you will see there is an odd northeast “bump” in the district and the southern boundary of the district is wavy. Based on the demographics, if you take that “bump” out making the east boundary straight and straighten out the southern boundary to balance the numbers you’d go from a D+1 district to an R+3 or R+4 district - and it would be even more compact/contiguous than it is now - not even remotely the “major gerrymander” you state - quite the opposite.

I’m not suggesting I think Indiana *should* do this or that it is either the right or the wrong thing to do - but one additional R and one less D in Indiana is trivially easy to do with ZERO gerrymandering.


19 posted on 05/01/2026 9:07:25 AM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man!)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

More like 1 month if we are realistic...doable for any legislature that can call itself into session. Unfortunately the Kentucky legislature cannot do that so this ruling came a bit too late.

Indiana should bring it up again - let the turncoats get exposed again before primary day if they want to stick with their shenanigans.


20 posted on 05/01/2026 9:23:53 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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