“About 500,000 American deaths could have been prevented for years.”
What evidence do you have for that?
L
Cumulative monthly death totals by country
2020 cumulative COVID-19 deaths on Jan 12 and first day of remaining months
2021 (first-half) monthly cumulative COVID-19 deaths
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_deaths
Exclude the first five months of 2020 (due to small Fibonacci numbers and all but first two months of 2021(vaccination common to most needy by March 2021).
Vaccine had about 94% effectiveness rate.
522K-105K x .9 = 360K
“About 500,000 American deaths could have been prevented for years.”
What evidence do you have for that?
“From March 1, 2020, through the end of 2020, there were 522,368 excess deaths in the United States”
About 10% of the way down:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistics_of_the_COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_United_States
It’s probably about 150,000 less than I first claimed (~500,000) because of the Fibonacci ramp up and less than 100% effectiveness (94%).
I don’t think I advocated for Fibonacci ramp-up vaccination until early April.
That 522K leaves out early 2021, when the vaccine was made available to the elderly and health care workers. Take-up was rapid in early 2021.