That was not a “safe” district for Republicans. All that “epic setback for Trump” is just kayfabe.
Lately it has been a district which Republicans normally win by an average of 11 points.
Perhaps not *perfectly* safe (clearly NOT) but it’s not a complete tossup either. The former incumbent (R) won by 19 points in 2024.
If the GOP flipped a district which favored Democrats by as much as that, we’d be popping champagne corks all over the place.
It is a very wealthy, mostly coastal, district with the largest section not near Mar a Lago but in Palm Beach Gardens. It should have been very safe.