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Election Maps UK: Proportionate swing in special election applied nationally
X ^ | 27 feb | @ElectionMapsUK

Posted on 02/27/2026 5:22:49 AM PST by RandFan

@ElectionMapsUK *JUST FOR FUN CLAXON*

If the proportional swing in Gorton & Denton was applied to national voting intention figures (Scaled up so big 5 parties ≈ 93%):

RFM: 415 - 34.6%

GRN: 100 - 24.3%

LAB: 38 - 19.8%

SNP: 35 - 3.0%

LDM: 31 - 7.0%

PLC: 7 - 1.0%

Others: 4 - 3.5%

CON: 1 - 6.8%

(Excerpt) Read more at x.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Conspiracy
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Holy Moly.

Don't be disheartened by the Greens "winning" that special election. Reform killed it in a very lefty constituency who decided to side with the Greens and abandon the ruling Labor party .

The hope was always for a split vote but it looks like tactical voting played a part.

However, apply the swing and numbers nationally and Reform are doing VERY well.

1 posted on 02/27/2026 5:22:49 AM PST by RandFan
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To: RandFan

Reform is finished.

The beacons are lit. Restore Britain or revolution.


2 posted on 02/27/2026 5:24:53 AM PST by Jim Noble (Assez de mensonges et des phrases)
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To: Jim Noble; BobL

I doubt that

Look at the numbers. They did very well. They just couldn’t cobble together a majority in a Left district that swung behind the Green Party and abandoned Labour

Bob got it spot on in the other thread


3 posted on 02/27/2026 5:28:01 AM PST by RandFan
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To: RandFan

So the voters think they need more immigration. Yes, that will solve their problems.


4 posted on 02/27/2026 5:28:06 AM PST by odawg
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To: Jim Noble

I think restore is the revolution and that was the problem with reform - well we have some problems and we need to fix some things but let’s not go to far and throw the beloved illegals out with the bathwater. No!!!!


5 posted on 02/27/2026 5:29:56 AM PST by AndyJackson
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To: odawg

That district is not representative of the entire country.

But Reform did show very well with 10k votes and a massive swing.


6 posted on 02/27/2026 5:30:37 AM PST by RandFan
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To: Jim Noble

“The hope was always for a split vote but it looks like tactical voting played a part.”

Labour/Greens got more than twice what Reform got, no matter how they split the vote one of them was going to beat Reform


7 posted on 02/27/2026 5:58:16 AM PST by JSM_Liberty
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To: RandFan; Jim Noble

There are only two near-certainties in British electoral politics. One is that a 3rd (4th or 5th) party will do well in a mid-term by-election under an unpopular government. The other is that this will have no bearing on what happens at a subsequent General Election.
One thing I do like about this result- for the first time for decades there is a genuine skilled manual worker as an MP


8 posted on 02/27/2026 8:47:01 AM PST by Winniesboy
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To: RandFan

What I fear will happen in the UK is, Labor will go even further left matching the Greens in lunacy, no party will have a majority and Labor and the Greens will form a coalition government allowing them to govern even though Reform will have the most votes.


9 posted on 02/27/2026 11:48:23 AM PST by srmanuel
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To: RandFan

Check out the demographic changes for Gorton and Denton over the last 20 years.

Family voting is an issue for very good reason.


10 posted on 02/27/2026 11:57:58 AM PST by mewzilla (Swing away, Mr. President, swing away! 🇺🇸 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿)
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