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The 2026 midterm elections will be decided in favor of the Democrats if the dominant issue is healthcare or inflation but it will be decided in favor of the Republicans if the dominant issue is widespread fraud.

If the Republicans lose either house they will be reduced to a president presiding in office who is reduced in power to what he can wield with his "pen and his phone." As resourceful, determined and charismatic as President Trump is, he will likely be fatally handicapped in his crusade to actually save the Republic. That means more than shifting power temporarily away from the deep state to the Republican party, or winning some legislative battles over tax policy, this crusade is to actually save the constitutional republic from a fatal debt spiral and a metastasizing moral cancer.

Fortunately, Trump is singularly equipped to win this election. Very soon he will address the nation in one of the few moments when the president enjoys the focused and extended attention of the whole of the nation in a manner that leaves him less vulnerable to fake news distortions.

In the State of the Union speech he should deny his urge to tout his foreign policy achievements, which are many and great, to emphasize domestic concerns that traditionally decide elections. Trump should seize the moment and outline a devastating indictment of the Democrats and the systemic fraud with which they have cheated Americans of their healthcare, their pensions, and their tax dollars.

The attack must amount to a devastating bill of particulars that makes clear that this systemic fraud done by Democrats hurts every American in ways that mothers will identify with because it hurts their families. When she understands that she can not afford healthcare for sick children, for example, because the system has been pillaged she will vote Republican in unquenchable indignation.

This is the demographic that will carry the election and reverse the historic trend against incumbent presidents in their first by-election.

While I appreciate your enthusiasm and hope that this latest scandal will result in Republicans, including even Trump, actually arresting anyone of significance THIS TIME, if history is any judge you are likely to be disappointed. More typically, the response to the crimes will be a lot of ‘tick tock talk’ in conservative media, and a fumbling of improperly focused executive order actions that end up disputed in court.

The focus for prosecution on day 1 should have been Mayorkas, and the plethora of crimes he committed, at which point these immigrant crimes would have been categorized as a by-product or anciliatry. Not to mention all the hundreds of billions of fraud that took place with regard to Covid subsidies, which according to reports actually far exceed the reported figures of these in Minnesota. Unfortunately, due to the scale of the other greater crimes that have remained un-prosecuted, these in Minnesota will be written off by many as a targeted attack against Somalians, rather than a justifiable and righteous attack against the greater, and already existing, crimes of fraud.

Maybe they can expand the scope, and actually go after some bigger fish than some day care operators in one state, but as I said the record so far isn’t good. Warmest regards and Happy New Year.