Latest calculations favor a hit on the moon, but still relatively low probability. But if it does hit the moon, it would cause meteorites to strike earth, and also take out satellites.
https://www.sciencenews.org/article/asteroid-moon-impact-2032-2024-yr4
Flurries of small ones could wind up producing natural fireworks-like displays, day and night. Could be fun. SpaceX can loft satellites to replace lost ones.