Heiser points out that Scripture only says that the Genesis 6 Watchers were imprisoned (2 Peter 2:4; Jude 6). It does not say that all Watchers or all rebellious “sons of God” are chained. In fact, several passages show rebellious divine beings who are still active.
Back to your point, Heiser distinguishes three different groups:
According to Heiser, it is this third group—still intelligent, still active, and not imprisoned—that best fits the intelligences behind the modern so-called “alien” phenomenon.
Addendum: I think it is important to note here that Deuteronomy 32:8 was altered in later Hebrew manuscripts, which is why the KJV and some others incorrectly translate it to say that the nations were divided according to the sons of Israel, not the sons of God. The Masoretic Text says “sons of Israel,” but the Dead Sea Scrolls (older by a thousand years) read “sons of God,” and the Septuagint reads “angels of God.” Israel did not exist at Babel, so “sons of Israel” cannot be original. This passage clearly refers to divine beings allotted over the nations.
Good summary of Heiser.
Years ago I studied this topic beginning with the scriptures only. I came pretty much to the same conclusion you just posted. The Deuteronomy 32 matter came later as I had trouble understanding how the Masoretic text could have this error.
But when I looked into early church writings, commentaries, and non-canon texts like the Book of Enoch, I found that this view is commonly held.
I grew up hearing that demons were fallen angels, but when I studied for myself I found this distinction in scripture between fallen angels and the Nephilim.
Apparently there was a very small number of angels who were involved in this particular rebellion. And I don't think it is unreasonable to think this event may be repeated as a fulfillment of Christ's prophecy about the end times being like “the days of Noah”.