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Harvard Researchers Say Strong Campaigns, Effective Anti-Trump Messaging Boosted Democrats in 2025 Elections
The Harvard Crimson ^ | November 11, 2025 | Jen L. Phan, Adelaide L.D. Roger, m Alexa M. Schmitt,

Posted on 11/16/2025 6:17:28 AM PST by CondoleezzaProtege

Political scientists at Harvard said Democratic victories in last week’s off-cycle elections were a sign of powerful backlash to Donald Trump’s presidency, but that Democrats could not afford to rest on their laurels ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Tuesday’s elections added new fuel to debates over whether Democrats could best strengthen their coalition by shifting to the center or embracing their party’s left wing.

Moderates Sherrill and Spanberger wielded their congressional experience and military and intelligence backgrounds to win governor’s seats. But Mamdani secured the New York City mayor’s office after running an unapologetically progressive campaign.

Some Harvard faculty said Sherrill, Spanberger, and Mamdani likely succeeded by running on platforms that emphasized voters’ day-to-day concerns and maintaining strong ground games.

Harvard Kennedy School professor Stephen Goldsmith, who previously served as deputy mayor of New York City and mayor of Indianapolis, said candidates’ focus on quality of life issues made “a really big difference.”

“People care about those issues,” Goldsmith said. “City and state residents expect from their governors and mayors pragmatic execution of the basic foundation of government. All three of these — Virginia, New Jersey and New York — were individuals who were committed to improving the quality of life.”

McKenna wrote that the Mamdani campaign was particularly effective at mobilizing membership-based groups to win back constituencies that had swung to the right in the 2024 elections.

She pointed to an exit poll by the Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund and the Asian American Federation that suggested 20 percent of Mamdani’s voters had backed Trump in 2024.

Levitsky said last week’s elections were the strongest sign so far that Democrats were able to rebound from their across-the-board loss to Trump and his party in 2024.

(Excerpt) Read more at thecrimson.com ...


TOPICS: History; Local News
KEYWORDS: 2026midterms; bluestatewins; democrats; maga; mamdani; partyofdeath; trump

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To: dfwgator
Yup! Republican voters sat on there @$$e$ last week.

Region2024 GOP Votes2025 Total VotesGOP Share if All 2024 GOP VotedOutcome
California6,080,0007,200,00084%GOP Wins
New York City786,0002,000,00039%GOP Loses
New Jersey1,970,0003,600,00055%GOP Could Win
Virginia2,010,0003,300,00061%GOP Could Win

61 posted on 11/16/2025 9:35:13 AM PST by Alas Babylon! (They don't kill you because you're a Nazi, they call you a Nazi so they can kill you.--CFW)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

I call BS. At least in Virginia. No one’s going to convince me that people who are willing to vote for a man who threatened to kill his opponent’s children only did it because they hated Trump.

It’s time to be open about it. They don’t just hate Trump although they hate him more, they hate all of us

They voted for a Democrat who said he would kill his Republican opponent’s children because they agree with him.

It is pointless and futile to try and explain irrational behavior with rational reasoning. If you’ve ever dealt with a mentally ill family member then you know what I’m saying.

We need to spend a lot less time analyzing why they’re nuts and figuring out how the hell we’re going to stop them and protect ourselves, and perhaps save the country.


62 posted on 11/16/2025 9:36:18 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

Answer to that in Purple States: Point to the Red States verses the dying Blie States.


63 posted on 11/16/2025 9:37:33 AM PST by cowboyusa ( YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA AND HE WILL HAVE NO OTHER GODS BEFORE HIM!)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

Not to marxism


64 posted on 11/16/2025 9:38:01 AM PST by cowboyusa ( YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA AND HE WILL HAVE NO OTHER GODS BEFORE HIM!)
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To: dfwgator

500 million guns say no


65 posted on 11/16/2025 9:38:55 AM PST by cowboyusa ( YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA AND HE WILL HAVE NO OTHER GODS BEFORE HIM!)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

Both republicans were Rhinos and anti trump - sears in Virginia spoke bad about trump - therefore they both lost

Looking at the polling in New Jersey the polls never came close to the results which i suspect there was cheating again


66 posted on 11/16/2025 9:43:08 AM PST by revivaljoe ( )
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To: Liz

Its wild that you’re proud to be a low-ordered thinker with apparently zero capability to engage in second order comprehension. But here you are.


67 posted on 11/16/2025 10:34:17 AM PST by brent13a
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To: brent13a

Its weird that you enjoy being an Israeli ***-kisser.

Must pay well.


68 posted on 11/16/2025 10:47:42 AM PST by Liz ("Socialism is a wonderful idea. It's just that it's been disastrous." Thomas Sowell.)
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To: Mouton

It’s completely unrealistic for anyone to expect prices to go back to pre-Bidenflation levels. That would require massive deflation, which usually only happens during severe recessions or depressions when the economy is in freefall. And wages are in fact going up, not stagnant, so if that trend continues esp. as the rate of deportations continues to increase, it should help with the higher prices.

At any rate, although not everything has gone down across the board, my grocery bills are consistently lower, gas prices are down considerably where I am, and my car insurance company recently mailed me a check since they lowered their prices after I’d already paid. I hope more people throughout the nation start noticing similar things and remember how much worse it was under Biden and the Dems with prices constantly rising through the roof then.

Electing Democrats to deal with affordability is like hiring the arsonist who burnt down your last house to protect your new house from fire.


69 posted on 11/16/2025 10:51:13 AM PST by FenwickBabbitt
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

Creep.


70 posted on 11/16/2025 11:01:40 AM PST by Liz ("Socialism is a wonderful idea. It's just that it's been disastrous." Thomas Sowell.)
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To: RightGuy

The purported Israel connection to the 2025 results is spurious at best, with
not a scintilla of hard evidence, only biased, agenda-driven, wild speculation.


Mmmmmmm............you’re a soft sell.

Wanna buy a bridge over the ocean in Arizona.......real cheap?


71 posted on 11/16/2025 11:05:21 AM PST by Liz ("Socialism is a wonderful idea. It's just that it's been disastrous." Thomas Sowell.)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

They forgot to add that local elections are ripe for voter fraud.


72 posted on 11/16/2025 11:19:44 AM PST by LouAvul (The Old Testament is merely history. We only follow the New Testament, as well we must. )
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To: FenwickBabbitt

Of course it is unrealistic but we are dealing with the intelligence of the average voter to realize that. More so given how the media presents it. Pay is only part of the problem, the interest on credit is another. Anything that sopped up discretionary spending leads to the feeling of by


73 posted on 11/16/2025 11:24:25 AM PST by Mouton (There is a new sheriff and deputy in town now!)
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To: jospehm20

Yes, it’s as simple as that. Democrats and their activists in the press seek to regain pre-2024 prominence while in the midst of their Party’s civil war by trumpeting their wins in already Democrat Party strongholds as a national response to the Trump administration.


74 posted on 11/16/2025 11:47:58 AM PST by Rowdyone (Vigilence)
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