The average recurrence interval between these events (~735,000 years) is often misrepresented as a predictive cycle. In reality, eruption timing is non-periodic, and the small sample size limits statistical validity.But in the very next paragraph...
...climatologist Markus Stoffel and affiliated risk researchers estimate a ~16% probability of a VEI 7 or higher eruption occurring globally before the year 2100.So you have a stochastic earth where you can't make predictions, but...Hey! What the heck? Let's make a prediction anyway!
Yeah. Typical of this drips. Example: didn’t global warming drown our cities and kill everything decades ago?