Any peace proposal should lock in the battle lines as of a specific, agreed-upon date — for example, today—to prevent either side from trying to gain territory before a settlement. Without a fixed reference point, both sides have an incentive to escalate rather than negotiate.
“incentive to escalate”
Weapons might be supplied to Ukraine depending on Russian efforts/territorial gains after Trump’s 50-day announcement.
Say:
5 Abrams tanks per square kilometer gained
10,000 155mm cluster rounds per sq. km. gained
1 cluster round per US estimated Russian round fired after July 15th
one F-16 per day after July 15 until Russian acceptance of peace deal terms