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To: ganeemead

The Russians launch roughly 800 Shahed drone copies at Ukraine pretty much every day.

Ukraine shoots down all but 5% to 15% of them.

That means about 40 to 120 Shahed drone copies can go where they are intended to go daily.

The Shahed type drones carry a warhead:

“Warhead weight 52 kg (115 lb) and 90 kg (200 lb) options”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HESA_Shahed_136

Kiev has about 320 square miles, so that is about one targeted 115/200 lb. drone warhead per 2.5 (320/120) square miles per day.

If one also includes the shot down drones that explode on Kiev, that might amount about one 115/200 lb. drone warhead (targeted/free fall) per square mile of Kiev per day.


2 posted on 07/18/2025 10:34:00 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Brian Griffin
Very interesting video. The biggest problem mentioned is that the drones cost $30,000 to $50,000 a piece and the patriot missiles used to shoot them down cost $3,000,000. The US and Europe do not have the capability to keep the Ukraine supplied with enough missiles to keep preventing high percentages of the drones from reaching their targets.

These are not like the little DJI Drones that Congress wants to ban here. The Iranians are producing ten times as many as they did last year.


3 posted on 07/18/2025 10:51:55 PM PDT by fireman15
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To: Brian Griffin

“Ukraine shoots down all but 5% to 15% of them.”

Shoots down with what? They are lucky if they shoot 10%.


4 posted on 07/18/2025 11:24:39 PM PDT by NorseViking
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To: Brian Griffin

No typically 200-300 Geran drones a day
Recent spikes of 535 then 700 were both records

Last week when Kieth Kellogg was In Kyiv these numbers fell drastically

He left yesterday and last night at least 400 were launched

Russia continues to expand production and is expected to reach 500 a day by the end of the summer and up to 700 by this winter

Many of these are the newer version with the warhead increasing to 90kg up from 50kg and with a faster airspeed

And No one believes Ukraine eliminates 90-95% percent of them
These are numbers released by the Ukrainian Air Force

Ditto for the percent of missiles they “shoot” down


8 posted on 07/19/2025 12:19:22 AM PDT by janetjanet998 (Please don’t use google products, especially YouTube )
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To: Brian Griffin

“that is about one drone per 2.5 square miles per day.”

There’s a problem with your logic. They aren’t targeting every square mile just certain targets.


10 posted on 07/19/2025 12:29:19 AM PDT by McGruff
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To: Brian Griffin

“ Ukraine shoots down all but 5% to 15% of them”

BS. I want to see reports from a verifiable, I dependent source for a claim like that. Drones are so effective in part because they are difficult to defend against in mass.


24 posted on 07/19/2025 5:45:22 AM PDT by GrumpyOldGuy
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