“They’d have to be crazy to launch at the West!”
Are we crazy for launching at them? Or attacking a nuclear sub base, and three or four strategic bomber bases and two train attacks that same day?
Imagine if a USN sub base, three US nuclear bomber bases, an Amtrak train and a freight train were attacked by Russia or their proxy in one day. We would attack very hard. Yours is an example of a very dangerous idea floating around DC and London these days, that anyone would have to be crazy to attack us, no matter what we do to them.
That is how you don’t see it coming.
What will be will be. I’ll take that chance.