--> YouTube-Generated Transcript <-- 0:03 · Good afternoon, spaceflight enthusiasts. 0:05 · Those of you who stay with your finger 0:08 · on the pulse of NASA budgeting may have 0:10 · heard, well, you probably heard a few 0:12 · days ago that thanks to Senator Cruz, a 0:15 · number of important aspects of the NASA 0:19 · program, that is to say, continuing 0:21 · operation of the International Space 0:23 · Station, the SLS, the lunar gateway, 0:27 · Orion, all of these things that have 0:30 · taken so much flack for being too 0:32 · expensive and outdated and therefore 0:34 · being shut down, at least after Artemis 0:37 · 3 for most of them. Well, now they've 0:40 · been saved with a considerable amount of 0:44 · money being invested in these programs 0:47 · thanks to an RDER bill that was attached 0:50 · onto the so-called big beautiful bill 0:52 · that is now a law, of course. But what 0:55 · most people don't realize is that the 0:58 · programs that Congress just spent $10 1:01 · billion to save have actually come out 1:04 · as being even less coste effective and 1:07 · more behind schedule than they were 1:10 · before according to the Government 1:12 · Accounting Office. Whereas the 1:14 · scientific programs that the government 1:16 · did cancel were on target and on budget. 1:21 · All of this and more coming at you on 1:23 · the angry astronaut right now. 1:29 · [Music] 1:32 · Good afternoon, spaceflight enthusiasts, 1:34 · and welcome to another angry bulletin. 1:37 · This is going to be brief compared to 1:40 · some of my videos simply because I'm in 1:42 · the process of recovering from a very 1:44 · nasty skin infection that actually had 1:47 · me in the hospital for the vast majority 1:50 · of the day yesterday and I need to get 1:52 · some time to recover. But at the same 1:54 · time, this is big news and I want to 1:56 · make sure that you folks are aware of 1:58 · it. So, first of all, let's talk about 2:00 · saving SLS and Lunar Gateway, that sort 2:04 · of thing. Which, by the way, for those 2:05 · of you who watch my channel, you know 2:07 · that I have argued that this is the 2:09 · thing that we have to do right now, 2:11 · given that we don't have another viable 2:14 · way of reaching the moon, at least not 2:17 · currently. Nor, in my opinion, are we 2:19 · likely to before 2030. So, let's go 2:22 · ahead and find out what the Senate did 2:24 · about this. quote, "Legacy aerospace 2:27 · giants scored a win Tuesday when the US 2:29 · Senate passed President Trump's bud 2:31 · budget reconciliation bill that earmarks 2:34 · billions more for NASA's flagship 2:36 · Artemis program. the 10 billion addition 2:39 · to the Aremis architecture, which 2:42 · includes funding for additional space 2:44 · launch system rockets and an orbiting 2:46 · station around the moon called Gateway, 2:49 · is a rebuke to critics who wish to see 2:51 · alternative technologies used instead. 2:54 · Amongst those critics are SpaceX CEO 2:57 · Elon Musk and billionaire entrepreneur 3:00 · Jared Isaacman, which both of those 3:02 · guys, as we all know, are on the outs 3:05 · right now. So, let's continue. There's 3:08 · no sign the souring relations between 3:10 · Musk and Trump are recovering. If Trump 3:12 · signs the bill, which they did, by the 3:15 · way, the fallout, which began after the 3:17 · president's abrupt abrupt revocation of 3:20 · Isacman's domination, will likely 3:22 · continue if not escalate, which it has 3:25 · because Elon appears to be starting his 3:28 · own political party. But I'm not going 3:30 · to talk about that. Let's continue 3:31 · talking about SLS. Musk in particular 3:35 · has taken aim at the space launch system 3:37 · rocket on the ground so it is fully 3:39 · expendable. Unlike SpaceX's family of 3:42 · rockets which are all designed to be 3:44 · reusable, SLS is a one-time use only. 3:48 · That means a billiondoll rocket is blown 3:51 · up every time it is launched. Even that 3:54 · may have been an understatement. That 3:56 · was Musk criticism, by the way. More 3:58 · recent figures from NASA's Watchdog put 4:01 · the recurring production cost closer to 4:03 · $2.5 billion each. A total of around $ 4:07 · 24 billion has been poured into SLS 4:10 · production to date. That includes 4:13 · however development to not just 4:15 · production. This is not exactly a fair 4:18 · article in the way that it's presenting 4:20 · this. But nevertheless, this is 4:21 · Techrunch by the way who uh who is 4:24 · reporting this. But we'll continue. 4:26 · funds that have primarily gone to a 4:28 · consortium of aerospace primes including 4:30 · Boeing, L3 Harris's Aererojet rocket 4:34 · dine and Northrup Grumman which leads 4:36 · construction of the major rocket 4:38 · components. During his recent 4:40 · confirmation hearings with the Senate, 4:42 · Isaacman questioned the massive sums. He 4:44 · affirmed using SLS for the next two 4:47 · Artemis missions. In other words, 4:49 · Artemis 2 coming up at the beginning of 4:51 · next year and Aremis 3, which can't 4:54 · happen until Starship or Lunar Starship 4:57 · is ready to put humans on the surface of 4:59 · the moon. So, quite a ways in the future 5:01 · with that one, but ultimately said that 5:04 · he didn't think the rocket was quote the 5:06 · long-term way to get to and from the 5:09 · moon and to Mars with great frequency. 5:12 · Congress and Trump, if he decides to 5:14 · sign the bill into law, which he 5:16 · obviously did. So all of this is a done 5:19 · deal now have decided to press ahead. 5:22 · Around $4.1 billion of the 10 billion 5:25 · added to the document will go towards 5:28 · additional SLS rockets for Artemis 5:30 · missions four and five. And by the way, 5:34 · Artemis 1 through 3 uses the block one, 5:37 · the basic SLS. Artemis 4 and five has to 5:41 · use the block 1B which requires also an 5:45 · upgraded launch tower, meaning that all 5:48 · of that has to be completed too before 5:50 · Artemis 4 and 5 can proceed. On the 5:53 · positive side of it, the Block 1B can 5:56 · carry a lot more payload, especially 5:59 · with the exploration upper stage add-on 6:02 · to the rocket. But nevertheless, let's 6:04 · continue. Meanwhile, about $2.6 $6 6:07 · billion will go towards the completion 6:10 · of the Gateway Space Station. Now, this 6:13 · is a controversial space station. In my 6:16 · opinion, it's a good thing. It's a great 6:18 · way to keep a long-term presence around 6:21 · the moon, maintaining a watch around the 6:24 · entire moon, for one thing, enabling 6:27 · landings on the moon in many different 6:30 · locations. There's a lot of benefits to 6:31 · the gateway. I've got videos about this 6:34 · topic linked at the end of this one. if 6:36 · you're interested in checking out my 6:39 · argument on keeping gateway. So, in my 6:41 · opinion, not a bad investment there. 6:44 · Notably, the president's fiscal year 6:46 · budget request for NASA submitted in May 6:49 · proposed to phase out the space launch 6:51 · system in Orion after Artemis 3 is 6:53 · complete. Obviously, this flies in the 6:56 · face of the proposal, which was 6:57 · submitted before Musk and Trump's public 7:00 · fallout in June. The new funding also 7:03 · includes $700 million for a new Mars 7:06 · telecommunications orbiter. $1.25 7:09 · billion goes to the continual operation 7:12 · of the International Space Station and 7:15 · $325 million to SpaceX for the 7:18 · development of a spacecraft to deorbit 7:20 · the ISS at the end of the decade. So, 7:23 · the total award for that deorbit is $843 7:28 · million. Now, let me be 100% clear about 7:31 · all of this. Even though I think 7:33 · preserving SLS and Orion and the lunar 7:37 · gateway are all necessary things to 7:40 · enable mankind's return to the moon. And 7:44 · until we have a viable replacement for 7:46 · these rockets, we really shouldn't be 7:48 · cancelling them. This is all about 7:51 · preserving jobs. Keeping the SLS rocket 7:54 · production going means that the same 7:57 · people who are building space shuttles 7:59 · are going to be building SLS rockets. 8:02 · The same people who were employed in 8:05 · building rockets for the last 45 years 8:08 · in the same places in Texas and 8:11 · Louisiana and other places for that 8:13 · matter. They're all going to keep their 8:15 · jobs, which is important to people like 8:17 · Senator Cruz of Texas. And as far as the 8:20 · ISS is concerned, well, there's a lot of 8:23 · people who maintain the operations of 8:26 · that space station too in Houston. And 8:29 · those very same people are going to be 8:31 · enabling the operation of the lunar 8:33 · gateway after the demise of the ISS. So, 8:37 · it's all about keeping their jobs as 8:40 · well. So, as far as Congress is 8:42 · concerned, all of this is a job creation 8:45 · engine. It really doesn't have anything 8:48 · to do with whether or not it's a good 8:51 · idea to keep these systems. But in any 8:54 · event, as I said, it's still probably 8:57 · the best thing. But what annoys me the 8:59 · most is the fact that the recent 9:02 · Government Accountability Office report 9:05 · on Artemis shows that once again, it's 9:08 · coming in over budget and behind 9:10 · schedule. And virtually all of the media 9:13 · ignored this story except for Aviation 9:16 · Week. So, I'm going to go ahead and 9:17 · quote extensively from their article on 9:20 · the topic. Quote, "Most of NASA's major 9:23 · programs are on schedule and within 15% 9:26 · of their budgets." That's great. But the 9:29 · AY's flagship initiative to expand human 9:32 · presence into deep space under the 9:34 · Aremis program continues multi-billion 9:37 · dollar cost overruns. According to the 9:40 · US Government Accountability Office, the 9:42 · GAO determined that 14 of 18 NASA 9:46 · projects assessed were within cost and 9:49 · schedule margins during fiscal 20125, 9:52 · but four programs led by the Orion Deep 9:55 · Space Crew Capsule are over budget by a 9:58 · total of nearly $500 million. Of that, 10:02 · Orion alone accounted for more than $360 10:06 · million in cost overruns. According to 10:09 · the GAO's report, which was submitted on 10:12 · July 1st, the cost spike was primarily 10:15 · due to technical issues stemming from 10:17 · the capsule's November 16th to December 10:20 · 11th, 2022 uncrrewed flight test around 10:23 · the moon, which revealed unexpected heat 10:26 · shield erosion. That investigation 10:29 · sparked delays in the followon Aremis 2 10:31 · crude flight test, currently targeted 10:34 · for April of 2026. quote, "They really 10:38 · needed some time to figure out what 10:39 · happened after Artemis 1 in terms of the 10:42 · integrity of the heat shield and what 10:44 · the possible solutions would be." And 10:46 · that's according to William Russell, 10:48 · director of GAO contracting and national 10:51 · security acquisitions. NASA also added 10:54 · some new requirements such as docking 10:56 · capability, which further hike costs. So 10:59 · when it comes right down to it, yeah, 11:01 · it's understandable as to why Orion went 11:04 · over budget, but still it's just another 11:07 · cost increase on top of so many that 11:10 · have happened thus far. Whereas the vast 11:12 · majority of NASA's programs came in at 11:16 · budget or just slightly overbudget as we 11:19 · really want government programs to do. 11:22 · That's the kind of performance that we 11:24 · want to see. So for its latest report, 11:26 · the GAO reviewed 53 major NASA programs, 11:31 · those with an expected life cycle cost 11:33 · of more than a quarter of a billion 11:34 · dollars dating back to 2009 to assess 11:38 · NASA's historical performance. Of those, 11:41 · at least 30 were developed at or near 11:43 · their cost estimates, which the GAO 11:46 · determined to be less than 15% over 11:49 · budget. So way more than 50% of their 11:52 · programs pretty much came in at the cost 11:55 · that they were expected to come in at. 11:57 · The rest required rescoping, new budget 11:59 · baselines, and/or additional money to 12:01 · complete. Most of the budget busters 12:04 · were in the Aremis portfolio. Quote, 12:07 · "Those accounted for pretty much the 12:09 · same amount of cost increase as the rest 12:11 · of the completed projects in NASA's 12:14 · entire portfolio." unquote. That once 12:17 · again, according to Russell, the GAO 12:20 · determined that 48 nonartemis projects 12:23 · had cost overruns totaling about 8.1 12:26 · billion and five Artemis projects of 48 12:30 · versus five were overbudget by almost $7 12:34 · billion. It shows the outsized impacts 12:38 · of some of those Artemis projects and 12:40 · the level of complexity. Russell said 12:42 · the scale of the efforts are pretty big. 12:44 · So when changes come to those programs 12:46 · or delays occur, it really adds up. I 12:49 · don't care about the excuses. Artemis 12:52 · came in way over budget. A lot of NASA's 12:55 · other programs didn't. My point is the 12:58 · vast majority of those programs are now 13:00 · being cut. the programs that behaved 13:03 · fiscally responsibly. Everybody 13:06 · responsible for those, the workers, 13:08 · everybody else put in so much effort to 13:10 · bring in those projects at budget or 13:13 · perhaps slightly above. And now they're 13:16 · being rewarded by losing their damn 13:18 · jobs. And the programs that were the 13:21 · least fiscally responsible just got 13:23 · another $10 billion in funding. It sends 13:28 · entirely the wrong message to the 13:30 · government and it's no way to reduce 13:33 · spending or to increase efficiency in 13:36 · the US government. It's very very 13:39 · annoying and I'm tired of ranting about 13:42 · it and I think it's time for me to just 13:44 · get back to bed now. Thank you very much 13:47 · for watching. Please don't forget to 13:49 · like and subscribe. I think it seems 13:51 · that Sunline decided to keep the store 13:53 · open for one more day through the end of 13:55 · the weekend. So, if you want a NASA 13:58 · budget cut suck t-shirt, seems that a 14:01 · couple of people actually picked them up 14:03 · yesterday, well, you probably have today 14:05 · to get those purchased. And then we'll 14:07 · be shutting the store down tomorrow and 14:10 · I'll let you know when it's going to 14:12 · come available again. Thanks very much 14:14 · for everybody who decided to support all 14:16 · of that. So, until next time, folks, I 14:19 · urge all of you to stay angry about 14:23 · space. 14:27 · [Music]
Have you ever thought of switching to decaf?
I've been seeing Angry’s threads posted lately, and I've come to the conclusion he needs to get a life.
Some of what is stated is not valid.