Russia could be forced to end the war in Ukraine because it will run out of money to pay its troops, according to experts at the DC-based Institute for the Study of War.
The country has burned through roughly half of its $106 billion liquid sovereign-wealth fund, which is used to pay troops’ salaries and new recruits bonuses, experts said.
Moscow can likely only afford another 12 to 16 months of fighting at its current pace, with about 30, 000 to 45,000 Russian troops killed or injured in Ukraine each month since its 2022 invasion began, ISW’s Russia team lead George Barros told The Post.
Though Russia has other areas from which they can pull funding for its war aside from its dwindling sovereign wealth fund, it is the easiest place to find quick cash to finance the conflict, Barros said. Plus, “it would be a massive embarrassment” if Moscow depletes “this nest egg that they built for two decades,” possibly risking Russia’s domestic support for Putin and his war.
Moscow is currently suffering upwards of 1,200 casualties per day, a rate that began to increase late last year “as Russian forces made gradual, creeping advances in eastern Ukraine,” according to the ISW report.
Meanwhile, Ukraine — which relies on modern, live-preserving military technology instead of Russia’s soviet-era systems — has a loss rate of roughly one casualty per four Russian losses.
Uh huh. I've been hearing stuff like this for 3 years. Nothing remotely like it has happened. Lemme know when it DOES happen. Don't keep telling me it will happen. I've heard it too many times to believe it anymore.
The country has burned through roughly half of its $106 billion liquid sovereign-wealth fund, which is used to pay troops’ salaries and new recruits bonuses, experts said.
Yes but it still has half and Russia has an incredibly low national debt unlike all Western countries. We are currently at 130% of GDP. We're in much worse financial shape than they are.
Moscow can likely only afford another 12 to 16 months of fighting at its current pace, with about 30, 000 to 45,000 Russian troops killed or injured in Ukraine each month since its 2022 invasion began, ISW’s Russia team lead George Barros told The Post.
I find those numbers laughable. Russia has a massive artillery advantage and has the advantage in air power. Lots of indications are it is Ukraine that has taken worse casualties than Russia....which you'd expect from the side that is heavily outgunned like they are.
Though Russia has other areas from which they can pull funding for its war aside from its dwindling sovereign wealth fund, it is the easiest place to find quick cash to finance the conflict, Barros said. Plus, “it would be a massive embarrassment” if Moscow depletes “this nest egg that they built for two decades,” possibly risking Russia’s domestic support for Putin and his war.
It would be more embarrassing by far for them to lose. They have a higher pain threshold than we do just as we would have a higher threshold for pain than they would if we were fighting in Mexico and they were supporting the other side. For the West it would be nice if Ukraine were to win. Russia views it as existential to win.
Moscow is currently suffering upwards of 1,200 casualties per day, a rate that began to increase late last year “as Russian forces made gradual, creeping advances in eastern Ukraine,” according to the ISW report.
I've already outlined that I don't buy these casualty figures at all. The BBC tried to pin down the casualty numbers for Russia using a wide variety of sources and could not conclude they suffered more than about 100,000 dead. Ukraine has suffered far far worse than that.
Meanwhile, Ukraine — which relies on modern, live-preserving military technology instead of Russia’s soviet-era systems — has a loss rate of roughly one casualty per four Russian losses.
Yeah propaganda, lies and BS. Laughable BS actually. Ukraine has lost about half a million. Some estimates are as high as 600,000. Millions and millions have poured into Western Europe and are not available to pour into the meat grinder.