Don’t worry. Trump is no dummy. He knows what’s going on
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The visuals of a total cut off of Ukraine will be nearly impossible to endure over the next 2-3 weeks when the Senate’s Reconciliation attempt is underway. Make no mistake here, its odds are not good. The Parliamentarian is not going to sign onto the concept that retaining Trumps 2018 tax cuts have no impact on the deficit.
The GOP has made preliminary noises about ignoring her, but the Democrats have said, and several on the GOP side agree, that ignoring her is tantamount to ending the Filibuster in the Senate. She stopped many Democrat attempts to tie things to Reconciliation bills (like gun control and all sorts of budget projection adjustments) and when she did the point about it being the end of the Filibuster if Schumer chose to ignore her arose. It was then that Sinema and Manchin stopped it. The Filibuster requiring 60 votes remained.
Regardless of who thinks what about the Filibuster, it is indeed a conservative reality. It raises the obstacles to passing laws and since conservatism opposes government intrusion into life, reducing the number of laws is a good thing.
But that’s a bit of digress. My overall point is the Senate situation will dominate all thought upcoming. The concept of “cutting off Ukraine from money and intel” need not be total. The money stops because that budget dries up. But intel is euphemism for satellite recon. You don’t have to shut that off. You can merely refuse to provide imagery farther into Russia than maybe 10 miles. Or you can say, no imagery unless Ukraine troops in a region exceed XXXXXX number of personnel.
Meaning, the cut off need not be total. There are ways to finesse this as the Senate debacle unfolds.