It’s 2025 and no one can tell me with any certainty if it’s going to rain
tomorrow or not.
So?
It’s weather. A fluid, constantly moving target with LOT of variables. Meteorology is a study in fluid dynamics and until you can understand and control THAT system in an open system, good luck being precise everywhere all the time.
Nor do meteorologists have a complete profile of the atmosphere. They take spot measurements that give data for specific locations.
So if you think it’s that easy, take some meteorology classes and get back to us and show us how to do it to forecast the exact forecast for ever location on the planet.
The forecasts are good and getting better is my experience. There are geographic features that affect the weather in substantial ways but NWS does a good job considering them. Combine their work with what I consider a top notch app - RadarScope - and am well set for ornithology work over the summer.
Maybe.........perhaps.........chance of