I will ignore Mr. Armstrong’s checkered past for now,
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Much like you, I do to. That said, no one is even close to 100 percent. But over twenty years, he more times than not forecasted “ the big ones”. I was impressed with his “ war in Ukraine “ forecasted in 2014, and his DOW predictions…40,000 when it was in the 20,000 range.
Time will tell.
I will add, he forecasted the DOW marching on to 60,000 after many panic cycles and directional changes ( volatility).