Agreed. What the Fed does with their balance sheet (QE and QT) often has much more effect than their official interest rate decision.
They have been capping the rates by purchasing the excess, so it doesn’t move them into h8gher rates.
That’s why the Fed is sitting on a trillion dollars in unrecognized losses on government securities.
If you mark all the bonds held by the Fed to market value, the loss on paper is over $1 trillion. That’s more around 23 times the value of the central bank’s stated capital.