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Europe’s New Travel Restrictions – Schengen at Risk
Armstrong Economics ^ | 13 Jan 25 | Martin Armstrong

Posted on 01/13/2025 7:51:19 AM PST by delta7

I have been warning for many years that the Schengen Agreement would fail. As I explained half a decade ago: “As the economy turns down very hard after 2015.75, we are more likely than not going to see the freedom of movement in Europe fragment and that will be the crack that signals the eventual risk of breaking up the EU idea of empire-building.” We saw things come to a head at the dawn of the refugee crisis when Merkel embarked on an open border policy. Nations began temporarily closing their borders to one another to curb migration. Brussels encouraged open borders but individual nations aimed to protect their sovereignty. Now, massive travel restrictions and requirements are underway.

The Schengen Agreement led to the creation of Europe’s borderless Schengen Area. The treaty was signed on June 14, 1985 by five of the ten member states of the European Economic Community near the town of Schengen in Luxembourg, but was not implemented (partially) until 1995. It proposed the gradual abolition of border checks at the signatories’ common borders. Measures proposed included: reduced speed vehicle checks that allowed vehicles to cross borders without stopping, allowed residents in border areas the freedom to cross borders away from fixed checkpoints, and the harmonization of visa policies.

Schengen Agreement

Germany and others are implementing the European Travel Information and Authorization System (ETIAS) in May. Those wishing to travel to nations with ETIAS requirements must receive electronic pre-approval. Anyone traveling from a visa-free nation will be required to apply. This includes a background check, submitting biometric data, and answering questions in relation to health and criminal history. ETIAS will remain valid for three years or until an individual’s passport expires. It can take up to 96 hours to process according to estimates.

Italy will begin requesting Type D visa holders to undergo fingerprinting at consulates. France, Poland, and Portugal are implementing similar measures. Spain introduced CEHAT (Confederación Española de Hoteles y Alojamientos Turísticos) last month that reshaped the hospitality sector by requiring hotels, campgrounds, resorts, apartments, and short-term rentals to submit extensive traveler info. Travelers must provide a thorough 31-data point survey and hand over their personal information. Additionally, travelers must demonstrate financial independence by proving they have €100 per day of their stay.

One may believe that these restrictions are simply targeted at non-Europeans. However, countless nations have already begun to implement border security and become wary of their neighbor as they do not want their migrants passing through their borders. Brussels remains in a state of denial and tries to force the EU upon everyone while denying any democratic process in order to save the jobs of the Eurocrats. We saw nations like Hungary and Poland fight Brussels on its open border protocols.

Europe has witnessed their population alter entirely in recent years under open border policies that are completely destroying each nation’s traditions and culture, not to mention budgets as there is no way any nation can provide full government assistance to endless newcomers. The Schengen Agreement will fail, for it is an invitation that will bankrupt the governments, for they cannot afford to expand their welfare systems.


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KEYWORDS: europe; travel; visas
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Having travelled the EU extensively, my acquaintances have commented on the Schengen “ treaty”, always voicing concern if it is discontinued- seems as it is, signaling the EU fracturing.

Keep in mind the EU is requiring this year for US citizens to apply for Visas to enter the EU. Bodes not well for the EU tourist and business sectors.

1 posted on 01/13/2025 7:51:19 AM PST by delta7
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To: delta7

I wonder if they’ll apply that to the illegals, *migrants8 and *refugees*, or just law abiding citizens who only plan to visit.


2 posted on 01/13/2025 7:57:23 AM PST by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon." Amen. Come, Lord Jesus)
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To: delta7

The US should have a policy that whatever restrictions a country imposes on us, we impose back on them for people who wish to come to us from them.


3 posted on 01/13/2025 7:59:01 AM PST by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon." Amen. Come, Lord Jesus)
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To: delta7

“welfare”

Welfare need not pay the full amount of living costs.

It might pay half, with the rest coming from tax rebates.

What if you’ve not paid much tax?

¡Adios o empleo!


4 posted on 01/13/2025 8:00:41 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: delta7
As the economy turns down very hard after 2015.75
That scamming unrepentant convicted felon forecaster Martin Armstrong always said BEFORE "2015.75" that "2015.75" would be the time of an economic Big Bang.

It never happened.

He has his own Wikipedia page:

Martin A. Armstrong

Martin Arthur Armstrong (born November 1, 1949) is an American self-taught[1] economic forecaster and convicted felon who spent 11 years in jail for cheating investors out of $700 million and hiding $15 million in assets from regulators.[1]

He now scams people at his online store where he sells useless subscriptions, books, reports and conferences costing hundreds and thousands.

Buyer beware.
5 posted on 01/13/2025 8:03:10 AM PST by MoneyBack
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To: metmom

“The US should have a policy that whatever restrictions a country imposes on us, we impose back on them for people who wish to come to us from them.”

The ETIAS and the UK’s equivalent are the European responses to the US equivalent to ETIAS.


6 posted on 01/13/2025 8:03:15 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: delta7

“Bodes not well for the EU tourist and business sectors.”

The European tourist business is pretty maxed out. Places like Barcelona, Florence and Venice are trying to trim it back.


7 posted on 01/13/2025 8:06:14 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: delta7

https://etias.com/


8 posted on 01/13/2025 8:09:34 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: delta7

Opening the borders within Schengen, which people favored, has failed because they opened the borders to people outside of Europe, which no one asked for or wanted. Huge betrayal and huge bait-and-switch.


9 posted on 01/13/2025 8:28:02 AM PST by marron
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To: Brian Griffin
--- "Starting in 2025, the European Commission will roll out a U.S. style electronic travel authorisation system for visitors from countries that are currently not part of the EU. "

Excellent observation. When Drosten coded that first PCR test for Covid before Covid was declared, we were in Berlin. I started looking backwards, to see the "run-uop." Unrelated to the so-named pandemic, I came across EU statements looking forward to a "vaccine-styled" travel pass which would be 1) electornic-based like an app, 2) required to prove such things as personage and vaccination history, and 3) various other digitized data. From as early as 2015, during the Obama era here. Ten years later, a little version is being proposed. E-passport visas, with a mind to track individual -- excepting of course those wacky migrants and economic freeloaders.....

This has been an EU Commission "wet dream" for a long time.

10 posted on 01/13/2025 8:29:22 AM PST by Worldtraveler once upon a time (Degrow government)
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To: delta7

Shall we then ask - what’s so great about Schengen?

OK, your train from Paris to Berlin doesn’t need to stop at the border for passport checks, or your truck full of Chinese-made TVs can drive straight through from Rotterdam Port to Munich without a customs exam

Is that small benefit worth the price of having a fascist super-state in Brussels, getting involved in wars no one wants, or having one’s country invaded by migrants with the help and planning of marxist globalists?


11 posted on 01/13/2025 8:38:43 AM PST by PGR88
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To: Brian Griffin

Plenty of great places to go in Europe if you stick to the back roads


12 posted on 01/13/2025 8:46:58 AM PST by bigdaddy45
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To: bigdaddy45

Poland is a fantastic place to visit, and it’s much cheaper as well. And no hordes of migrants there.


13 posted on 01/13/2025 8:48:50 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: PGR88

-— “Starting in 2025, the European Commission will roll out a U.S. style electronic travel authorisation system for visitors from countries that are currently not part of the EU. “
—————

Armstrong is a legendary international forecaster ( his Socrates super computer) and has forecasted the EU decline and even the dumping the Schengen when it was instated…..and of course a slow burn meltdown and fracturing of the EU.

It appears we are witnessing the EU’s decline, travel restrictions being put in place, Germany, French, Romania ,etc…governments falling apart: Germany and Romania and even Canada are scheduling new emergency elections.

Socrate’s ECM for the EU can be found on his complimentary spam free, add free site. Worth reading.


14 posted on 01/13/2025 8:51:00 AM PST by delta7
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To: dfwgator

And the women. Unbelievable.


15 posted on 01/13/2025 9:26:45 AM PST by bigdaddy45
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To: bigdaddy45

Tak jest!


16 posted on 01/13/2025 9:27:05 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: metmom

You are obviously not aware that the U.S.A. already has the ESTA program since 2008.

https://esta.cbp.dhs.gov/


17 posted on 01/13/2025 9:40:48 AM PST by ANKE69 (✌️🇺🇲 Let's MAGA)
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To: dfwgator

Except a million Uks...


18 posted on 01/13/2025 9:48:26 AM PST by Trinity5
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To: Trinity5

Better Ukes than Muzzies.


19 posted on 01/13/2025 9:50:48 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: delta7
save the jobs of the Eurocrats

The European Union and its top heavy overpaid, untaxed, ludicrous expense accounts, bureaucracy is a massive burden on Europe, but the foundation, along with NATO, of Belgium's artificially prosperous economy. Even while suffering a mini Beirut and mini Kinshasa in the heart of Brussels, of course they will oppose anything that disrupts the gravy train.

20 posted on 01/13/2025 10:06:55 AM PST by katana
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