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2030 Census forecast: -12 Blue seats
Thearp.orv ^

Posted on 01/09/2025 8:26:54 PM PST by Degaston

Forecast as people vote with their feet.

California -4, New York -3, Illinois -2, Minnesota -1, Oregon -1, Rhode Island -1

Pennsylvania -1, Georgia +1, North Carolina +1, Arizona +1

Tennessee +1, Idaho +1, Idaho +1, Utah +1, Florida +3, Texas +4

(Excerpt) Read more at thearp.org ...


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1 posted on 01/09/2025 8:26:54 PM PST by Degaston
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To: Degaston

Wonder if this takes into account the admitted errors in the 2020 count that had undercounts that have not been corrected...

Arkansas (-5.04)
Florida (-3.48)
Mississippi (-4.11)
Tennessee (-4.78)
Illinois (-1.97)
Texas (-1.92)


2 posted on 01/09/2025 8:31:35 PM PST by Hessian (Time flies like an arrow, fruit flies like a banana.)
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To: Degaston

I know of quite a few people who in 2020 decided to starve the beast and put down only one person living at their home.


3 posted on 01/09/2025 8:32:27 PM PST by broken_clock (Go Trump! Prayers answered!)
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To: Degaston

This is why the Democrats will fight like hell to keep illegal aliens from being deported. It will be their number one priority.


4 posted on 01/09/2025 8:35:25 PM PST by Mr. N. Wolfe
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To: Mr. N. Wolfe

The problem here is that a significant number of these people will continue to vote for what they fled.


5 posted on 01/09/2025 8:43:00 PM PST by Merrittk
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To: Degaston
Next Census - minus 12 for Democrats?

Sorry, not credible.

The Census counts "All persons present," not just citizens.

Almost all Congressional Districts with high numbers of non-citizens are represented by Democrat Congress people.

There is no reason to think that will change in 2030.

6 posted on 01/09/2025 9:23:43 PM PST by zeestephen (Trump Landslide? Kamala lost Wisc, Mich, and Penn, by 230,000 votes.)
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To: Degaston

Not all good news. As formerly red Georgia and Arizona gain seats, they are also turning purple.


7 posted on 01/09/2025 10:00:24 PM PST by Angelino97
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To: Degaston

... need to add back the citizenship question on the census:

- How many people live at this location?
- How many USA citizens live at this location?
The above questions must be answered. Failure to answer or failure to respond with correct information may result in jail time, a $10,000 fine, or both.


8 posted on 01/10/2025 3:23:02 AM PST by ByteMercenary (Cho Bi Dung and KamalHo are not my leaders.)
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To: Degaston

If we can get the citizenship question back on the census, the donkeys will lose a lot more seats than that.


9 posted on 01/10/2025 3:55:28 AM PST by FLT-bird
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To: Degaston

Too bad that a lot of movers bring their politics with them. Create a hellhole like California, then move to Idaho and promote the same policies that created the problems in California.


10 posted on 01/10/2025 7:02:16 AM PST by CommerceComet (Re-elect Donald Trump - AGAIN)
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