Posted on 11/05/2024 6:28:26 PM PST by henbane
Thanks!
You’re welcome, looks like good news so far.
Looks like the NY Slimes are trying to catch up with the betting markets
This is the NYT "Needle" at 9:30PM:
Here is the NYT's projection on The Needle at 11:50PM
Would someone let Nate Silver know?
Fox News just called both Georgia and Pennsylvania for Trump putting him at 267....and Alaska has 3 electoral votes.
Put a fork in it. Its done!
Nate has done Seppuku so no need to keep him informed.
Trump just won Pennsylvania and the United States Presidency.
Nate Silver Gives Up on His Prediction Model in Middle of Election Night
Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night.
Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was pulling his prediction model, in part because it wasn’t “capturing the story of this election night well.”
“Something like The New York Times Needle is a much better product,” he conceded.
Prior to the abrupt take-down, Silver’s prediction model gave Kamala Harris a 53 percent chance of beating Donald Trump as of 9:05 p.m.—a sharp contrast from The New York Times’ voting needle, which by 10:30 p.m. gave Trump an 81 percent chance of returning to the White House for another four years.
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