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Election Betting Odds: Trump Surpasses 70% On Polymarket As More Election Results Come In
Forbes ^ | November 5, 2024 | Derek Saul

Posted on 11/05/2024 6:28:26 PM PST by henbane

click here to read article


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To: Inyo-Mono

Thanks!


41 posted on 11/05/2024 8:41:51 PM PST by j.havenfarm (23 years on Free Republic, 12/10/23! More than 8,000 replies and still not shutting up!)
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To: j.havenfarm

You’re welcome, looks like good news so far.


42 posted on 11/05/2024 8:42:29 PM PST by Inyo-Mono
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To: AndyTheBear
11:35 PM: Polymarket odds now Trump wins election: 94.6% Wins popular vote: 88%, wins every swing state: 76%

Looks like the NY Slimes are trying to catch up with the betting markets

This is the NYT "Needle" at 9:30PM:

Here is the NYT's projection on The Needle at 11:50PM

Electoral college estimate:
Trump 301 Harris 237

43 posted on 11/05/2024 9:00:26 PM PST by henbane ( WAKE UP, AMERICA! The DEMS & RINOs are eating you alive!)
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To: henbane

Would someone let Nate Silver know?


44 posted on 11/05/2024 9:39:58 PM PST by TonyM (Score Event)
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To: henbane

Fox News just called both Georgia and Pennsylvania for Trump putting him at 267....and Alaska has 3 electoral votes.

Put a fork in it. Its done!


45 posted on 11/05/2024 10:22:47 PM PST by AndyTheBear (Certified smarter than average for my species)
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To: TonyM
Would someone let Nate Silver know?

Nate has done Seppuku so no need to keep him informed.

Trump just won Pennsylvania and the United States Presidency.

Nate Silver Gives Up on His Prediction Model in Middle of Election Night

Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night.

Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was pulling his prediction model, in part because it wasn’t “capturing the story of this election night well.”

“Something like The New York Times Needle is a much better product,” he conceded.

Prior to the abrupt take-down, Silver’s prediction model gave Kamala Harris a 53 percent chance of beating Donald Trump as of 9:05 p.m.—a sharp contrast from The New York Times’ voting needle, which by 10:30 p.m. gave Trump an 81 percent chance of returning to the White House for another four years.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/nate-silver-gives-up-on-his-prediction-model-in-middle-of-election-night/ar-AA1tAhY1#

46 posted on 11/05/2024 10:24:20 PM PST by henbane ( WAKE UP, AMERICA! The DEMS & RINOs are eating you alive!)
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