“Polls show that Trump and Harris are neck-and-neck in nearly every battleground state heading into the last few weeks of the campaign.“
I and quite a few others on here opined months ago that Trump would constantly be rising in the polls and Biden or Kamalla would ALWAYS be neck and neck with him. And here we are.
Trump won twice before and he will win again.
I am totally convinced he won in 2020. The statistical skew on the late mail in votes counted defied statistical models in relationship to Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia etc.
My knowledge of statistics is limited to grain studies in geology which is actually statistics. We literally sort thousands of grains of sand (kinda like votes) group them by characeristics and look for uni-modal, bi-modal, or multi-modal characteristics determined by grain size, weathering, composition etc. It is a lot of work with a microscope. It can determine the source rock with pretty damn good accuracy. The distribution of those late votes were statistically impossible. However, doubting my analysis I asked a friend that taught statistics to Air Force students. He stopped me half way through my question. He said, "that election was stolen."
He was also an engineer, Air Force Pilot, Airline Pilot, and rather importantly an instructor for statistics. I trust his judgement.