I don’t see any models predicting Tuesday landfall.
Latest model runs have a northerly shift for Milton.
HWRF 948mb 18z 10 Oct
HMOM 969mb 18z 10 Oct
HAFS-A 949mb 00z 10 Oct
HAFS-B 950mb 03z 10 Oct
GFS 958mb 00z 10 Oct
ECMWF 976mb 00z 10 Oct
Only the ECMWF has a direct hit now on Tampa Bay. See screen shots here:
https://x.com/numberonepal/status/1842733339372830839