AZ sadly isn’t looking good.. Lake is a great candidate but clearly there something that voters in that state just seem to be put off by, at least thats how it seems.
I live in PA, and I think McCormick has been running a good campaign, however, I think the only way he can win is if Trump just crushes it here, and his coattails can carry McCormick across the line. I’m not a huge fan of McCormick, he is indeed another wall street Republican, card carrying member of the WEF, and far more RINO that MAGA.. however even with that said, he’s head and shoulders above the POS they ran last time named OZ.
Casey is a lousy campaigner, always has been, he’s never really faced a strong challenge, the GOP pretty much has refused to take the field in every one of his previous elections.
McCormick is working to tie Casey to the failed Biden agenda, which isn’t hard to do since most of the Biden Agenda was passed with 50-50 votes with Kamala providing the tie breaker, so no Democrat Senator can run away from the votes.
When it is all said and done if McCormick wins it will be interesting to see the results. If McCormick outperforms Trump then the argument for more RINO type candidates will grow even louder (this is where the state GOP in PA has always lived, they HATE TRUMP.). If however McCormick underperforms Trump like OZ did, the pressure for leadership of the GOP of PA to change and put up more MAGA style candidates will grow.
We will see in a few weeks how PA goes.
MI & WI, I can’t say, I would say they probably fall in the same category of PA..... If TRUMP wins, and wins big there, his coattails may provide a path.
Republicans are working hard to nationalize the race and tie the democrat candidates to Biden/Harris policies... If this is successful, and Trump wins and wins big, there almost certainly will be coattails that will pull over some candidates that likely would fall otherwise.
If I had to lay odds at the moment, I would say likelihood of pickups in WI, MI, PA or AZ are possible but not likely, but momentum appears to be in the right direction to increase those odds between now and election day.
Honestly I expect a pretty major collapse of Harris before election day... Trump always closes Strong.... I don’t see major shift her direction coming when her policy statements are basically “I came from a middle class home.”
I mean seriously the Harris Walz campaign is literally a Seinfeld episode, its a campaign about nothing... keeping that up for another 6 weeks, and somehow thinking at the end of those 6 weeks the undecideds are going to break to you when you have given them nothing, in any major degree, is impossible.
True
There will be women who vote for Trump but refuse to fill in the circle for Lake. There will be Hispanics who won't vote for Harris, but who will eagerly fill in the circle for Gallego - simply because of his surname.
Lake ran about 200K votes behind state treasurer Kimberly Yee (R) on the 2022 ballot. This could certainly be due to fraud, but Lake seems to have a huge likability issue communicating with women and RINOs that isn't apparent to male MAGA supporters who like the way Trump talks.
It might just be that a loudmouth real estate developer from Queens can get away with saying things that a well-known - and previously thought to be Democrat - news reporter from Arizona cannot. Her authenticity comes into question. People who dislike her aren't necessarily voting for her opponent - they just aren't voting for her.