Three days to Kiev! Or at least back to the Ukrainian border.
Even if they were routed from Kursk and ran back to the Dnieper with their tails between their legs today, Putin’s paradigm has been shattered. The war is now most definitely not something happening “over there”. This has been undermined gradually, from the destruction of the Kersh bridge and air raids on naval and air assets in Crimea, to drone attacks on Moscow and factories close to the border, to now a full-fledged invasion and weeks passing with no action from the Kremlin, and streams of refugees.