Among those who say they definitely plan to vote in November’s election, Biden (45%) and Trump (45%) are tied in this multicandidate field.
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/contest-for-president-still-up-for-grabs/
An even popular vote would in fact translate to a President Trump electoral landslide because there is only one state of CA and the Democrats will win it by a two to one margin.
Because of political polarization, both candidates will get between 45-50%
whoever the “double haters” decide they hate less will win.