[KarlInOhio]

Were the batches problematic or were the patients? What were the ages and medical conditions of the recipients? If a batch is used entirely at a nursing home (because the rush to get the first shots into the elderly) is it possible the expected death rate over three years even without the vaccination is over 10%?

For example, the average lifespan in the US of someone 80 years old is 8 years. If the likelihood of death is the same every year(not realistic but good for a first estimate), then the expected death rate is over 8% per year just from age. Make that even even worse by selecting nursing home patients instead of the general population and you can easily get over 20% over almost three years.

The 20% rate on certain batches demands investigation, not panic or witch-burning.

[House Atreides]

Your post is precisely on point and very thoughtful. Thanks.