As for the Ukraine War, my surmise is that the highest levels of the Biden NSC team have a clear picture of what is going on, with policy driving the intelligence data that is permitted to be circulated at the lower levels. Key US generals long ago projected that a stalemate was the most likely outcome, not a victorious Ukrainian counter-offensive.
“As for the Ukraine War, my surmise is that the highest levels of the Biden NSC team have a clear picture of what is going on...”
This seems very unlikely, given that Jake Sullivan was pencilling in a major role for himself in a supposed Nuremberg-style trials of Russian “War Crimes”.
All predicated on a Counter-Offensive that was so successful that it would cause a Regime collapse and surrender in Russia.