I get what you are saying, I catch a lot of grief here on FR for pointing out Georgia as an example of how things go very wrong.
The Republicans control every level of State Government in Georgia, except the two US Senate Seats.
Brian Kemp and Brad Raffensberger both are loathed in the MAGA world, both easily won reelection in 2022, they even soundly defeated Trump endorsed primary challenges.
The one Republican who didn’t win in that election was Herschel Walker, why is that, true MAGA supporters will tell you Kemp is crooked and stole the election from Walker.
I contend Walker was a terrible candidate and rift between MAGA and the Georgia establishment was enough for people to not vote for Walker even though they voted for Kemp and Raffensberger who were all on the same ballot.
Arizona is another example, Republicans win often in Arizona, in 2022 all 3 major Republican candidates lost.
The big flaw was urging their supporters to vote on election day creating a single point of failure in the election process when the machines in key Republican precincts didn’t work.
In Kari Lake’s case she told McCain supporters to “get the hell out” of her rallies. You don’t’ have to love John McCain to welcome his voters.
No Republican including Kari Lake is in a position to throw away potential votes.
Republicans can’t afford stupid unforced errors like that.
“I get what you are saying, I catch a lot of grief here on FR for pointing out Georgia as an example of how things go very wrong. Arizona is another example”
Georgia and Arizona are perfect examples of a changing demographic. Both of these states only trend purple because the moderates and independents rejected Walker and the Maga ticket in AZ.
I expect there will be more bleeding in the future. The GOP had a lock on suburban women until the Dobbs decision. Dobbs tossed the abortion issue back to the states. Abortion rights issues have won everywhere there’s been a state referendum. So Ohio tried to make it harder to amend the state constitution and then tried to legally keep the issue from being on a state-wide ballot. And now the suburban women are voting against the GOP.