Actually, yes it is. The facts are:
BEFORE redistricting (2020) the district was R+6 according to Cook. AFTER redistricting it's R+7 (Cook) and "R+15" (538) though you have to divide the 538 in half to make it comparable to the way Cook calculates it:
FiveThirtyEight's Colorado page
Demographics and election results (including historic ones) for Colorado District 3
The change wasn't dramatic, but redistricting moved this one to the RIGHT for 2022, not to the left.
Boebert's (and Trump's) struggles in CO-3 are due more to themselves than to the makeup of the district. I like Boebert and wish there were more like her in the House, and Trump is going to be the presidential nominee in 2024 whether people like it or not, but there's every chance that they both lose this district next year. If they do happen to win that would be great, but it will very likely be with their usual 51% or 52% at most despite the heavier overall GOP lean of the area.
Actually, yes it is. The facts are:...
That Cook analysis to which you linked looks pretty solid. I guess my sources estimating D+2 for district 3 may have been too pessimistic.
And thanks for the links.