Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

To: bitt

RINO Ronna on Maria this morning.....does she get to charge off her botox bill to the RNC?


102 posted on 08/20/2023 7:27:36 AM PDT by thinden (buckle up ....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 48 | View Replies ]


To: thinden

https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4176462/posts?page=1

Russia’s first lunar mission in 47 years smashes into the moon in failure
nypost ^ | 8/20/2023 | isabel keane
Posted on 8/20/2023, 10:48:18 AM by bitt


108 posted on 08/20/2023 7:52:37 AM PDT by bitt (<img src=' 'width=40%>)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 102 | View Replies ]

To: LonePalm
Bringing over from Festival: Lonepalm's latest on China
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/
Taiwan has two things the PRC doesn't have but definitely needs. The first is the Dutch machines that make the high end chips, < 10nm. The second is people with the technical knowledge to run those machines and build the VERY special facilities that house those machines. Those facilities are so clean they make a US surgical suite look a back alley in Bangkok.

There are those who think the PRC could get chips, machines, and people it needs by invading Taiwan. This would be a preordained failure. There are already plans in place to move the machines and people to Japan in the event an invasion looks likely. Worst case, the machines are blown up in place and the people get out. They can always buy more machines from the Dutch.

That doesn't mean that Xi Jinping won't try it. The greatest danger with Xi is that he is probably the single most isolated national leader on Earth. He makes Robinson Caruso look like a social butterfly. He has either removed, killed (not hyperbole), or intimidated anyone of ability around him such that no one wants to bring him bad news for fear of how he will react. This means that he likely doesn't have a clear picture of what is going on in the PRC.

I can't over stress the danger here. The level of internal unrest in the PRC is growing daily. If Xi decides to have a go at Taiwan it won't be about getting chip making machines. It will be to provide a diversion from internal problems. I think he likely knows that this would fail but drowning men grasp at straws to stay afloat.

I am having increasing doubts as to whether the PLA (army) and/or the PLAN (navy) would go along with an order to invade. I wouldn't want to make a life or death invasion of Cuba during hurricane season after a Cat 5 just swept up Florida.

Hope this answers your question. If anyone has more questions I will answer as best as I can.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Thanks again, LP. I don't know where you're getting all this information and insight on China; but, I really appreciate it. Your understanding of the semiconductor industry and your analysis of Taiwan's contingency planning, e.g., moving sine qua non technology to Japan, is crucial, and I have not seen the like in the media, or even in Michael Pillsbury's excellent book.

Once again the FReeQ thread demonstrates why it is such a primo source of information.

BTW, is there a particular Dutch company that makes these machines? Are they public?

138 posted on 08/20/2023 10:21:58 AM PDT by Disestablishmentarian (Deeper we go, the more unrealistic it all becomes.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 102 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson