All analysts have been wrong because they didn’t get this was, from the start, a proxy war, and one in which the puppeteers don’t care if the citizens survive. The analysts all thought this was a war in which leaders would try to minimize civilian casualties. Zelensky and CO. are going to destroy every last citizen. It’s hard to get it ‘right’ when you miss the big, very strange, Deep State strategy in play which views Ukranians as cannon fodder. MacGregor is often right -he just gets dirt thrown at him for that.
Denys Davydov is technically ‘wrong’ quite often, although Davydov has been intentionally lying.
Why are you leaving the Ukrainian citizens out of your assessment?
The citizens DO NOT WANT to be controlled by Russia.
Regardless of what you think the ‘puppeteers’ are doing, there is a body of citizens that will fight to the last - because to surrender to the Russians will expose them to horrors beyond measure. Torture, Prisoners in a gulag, starvation, or death.
Any analysis that does not include the wants and desires of the ordinary Ukrainian citizen is simply utter bollocks.
If we stop supporting them, they will be fighting with rocks and captured weapons. But they will still be fighting.