I think you are right.
It’s a low risk action. They will say that it is unthinkable and even unconstitutional, not to pay ongoing expenses of the federal government. The media will be behind them. Everyone who gets any payment for anything, from the federal government, will be relieved that their payments are uninterrupted.
And in court, if the Supreme Court shot it down, we would just be back where we are now.
It’s truly a no lose situation for the Dems. to try to say the 14th amendment allows unfettered spending.
It won't go directly to the Supreme Court.
Republicans will go to a friendly appellate circuit court for an injunction to block Biden until the case can be heard, just like with DACA and other executive branch separation of powers overreach cases.
The lower court will rule in the House's favor based on precedent, preventing Biden from raising the debt limit unilaterally. This will force Democrats to rush through the House's bill that was already passed.
On the GOP's side is yesterday's poll showing a majority of people agree with spending cuts tied to raising the debt limit. This will pressure Biden to agree to a token compromise with the House in order to get the bill passed in the Senate.
After Biden signs the bill, the LAAP-dog media can fight over who benefited the most.
-PJ