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Does the current situation remind you of the September 2022 Kharkiv/Kherson offensives?
Last year Ukraine signaled a pending attack in Kherson. Russia reinforced Kherson. Ukraine’s attack in Kharkiv was easier since the Russians had moved troops to Kherson.
This year Ukraine is believed to be planning an offensive toward Melitopol or Mariupol. Has Russia reinforced that sector? Has that allowed Ukraine to make advances in Bakhmut?
I’d guess so.

To me, it is more likely what is happening in Bakhmut is because Wagner is at risk of culminating, or less technically, burning out. Prigozhin and the Russian MOD do not get along. Prigozhin's ambitions pushed Wagner extended beyond what the Russian Army wanted or was able to support.

Ukraine slowly withdrew and let Wagner overextend and wear itself out while Prigozhin and the Russian command bickered. What is most likely happening is Ukraine's patiences is paying off and they are taking advantage of the situation Russia created, more than a part of the expected offensives.

Russian forces freaking out over losing a few square miles is making it worse for them.

“Does the current situation remind you of the September 2022 Kharkiv/Kherson offensives?”

GREAT OBSERVATION & COMMENT!

ALSO, CHECK THIS OUT:
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4153253/posts?page=19#19

14 May A Huge Group of Russians GETS TAKEN INTO A POCKET AND DESTROYED | War in Ukraine Explained
Reporting from Ukraine
252K subscribers
May 14, 2023 10:00 p.m. EDT
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbAl-2laYV0

SPECIAL INTEREST:

**”Later RUSSIAN SOURCES confirmed this information and also reported that they LOST 2 colonels. One colonel was the commander of the 4th Motorized Rifle Brigade. Another colonel was second-in-command. Both of them died from lethal wounds, so the whole brigade is now with NO HIGH COMMAND.”

**”The Head of the Wagner Group, Prigozhin, recently published a video where he explained why the Russian MOD is lying about the stability of the situation. He said that the Ministry of Defense is FOCUSING ON SETTLEMENTS instead of tactical positions, and in most cases in Ukraine, settlements are located in the lowlands and mean virtually nothing. So, while the Russian Ministry of Defense reports that Ukrainian failed to take Berkhivka, for example, Ukrainians are successfully moving along the tactical heights.”