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To: volunbeer; SunkenCiv; Red Badger
Fear porn sells and articles about the Cascadia Fault are always a good read to capture the imagination. I would bet that these articles are recycled once a week or more somewhere around the world.

No, not the case here.

Yes, Yellowstone IS on a 600,000 year schedule - plus or minus 100,000 years. The hype about Yellowstone tripping off is foolish. As you point out, History Channel-National Geographic special pure unadulterated hype and exaggeration. The bloody caldera isn't even going up (filling with magma below) at an appreciable rate - only a few feet per year. Oh yes - In 25,000 - 50,000 years, there will be a peak there, and the probability of eruption will increase.

But not in today's world.

But the (lack of Fear Porn) from the Cascadia Fault - The one offshore of Oregon and Washington (and Vancouver) is very different. Vastly different. For the Cascadia Fault the level of Fear Prom should be very high - but everybody ignores it while focusing on Yellowstone or the San Andreus "Big One". Those get publicity. And money.

It IS a real next-year-possible threat. (A this month threat actually.) It DOES trip off regularly. On a very short, very regular 350 - 380 year interval. We have good specific evidence of Mag 8 earthquakes off the Oregon coast going back now 10-12 cycles. ANd these ARE regular intervals - not like a volcano interval of 10,000 years or 5,000 years. 350 - 380 years.

The last Mag 8 to Mag 9 earthquake was 323 years ago. Exact timing was easy - it destroyed villages in Japan hours later.

We have moved into the “most likely earthquake period” on a standard distribution curve. A curve that has a very small standard deviation.

I'm working on an getting an actual interval for Mag 9+ earthquakes (19 in 9,500 years) when the entire Juan de Fuca plate trips, and for the combination of Mag 8+ and Mag 9+ earthquakes (41 in the same interval.) Don't have those numbers yet.

69 posted on 04/14/2023 8:33:24 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (Method, motive, and opportunity: No morals, shear madness and hatred by those who cheat.)
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To: Robert A Cook PE
One real problem is, this new discovery is probably not of something that has newly appeared. It's probably very old, as was the polar hole in the ozone. Another real problem is, until an eruption or quake happens, those two specialties don't know when they were going to occur. And Yellowstone is not on a schedule. Cascadia being destroyed? From a superstitious perspective, the degeneracy and lawlessness of the left there is probably the best precursor of an upcoming disaster. :^)

74 posted on 04/14/2023 10:09:27 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (NeverTrumpin' -- it's not just for DNC shills anymore -- oh, wait, yeah it is.)
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