Macgregor explains why/how he thinks it will be Russia.
Macgregor’s predictions and pronouncements have proven less reliable than Adam Schiff’s.
When does winter give you an advantage in war?
1. When the enemy controls the skies, and doesn’t have winter capable aircraft.
2. When you have troops trained and equipped to fight in winter and the enemy does not.
3. When you have rock solid logistics, and the enemy does not.
4. When you feel that given more time the enemy can reenforce a checkpoint.
When is winter attack a stupid waste?
1. When you are inpatient for summer offensive.
2. When your desperate for some type of advance.
3. When poor weather is no advantage
4. When your troops have wrong equipment, wrong training, and no logistics.
In this setting, the Russians have demonstrated potentially the worst logistical support potentially in history thus far. Ukraine may want strategic objectives to launch offensives in summer, but that would be limited.
We must assume if either side launches a ‘huge’ (not small contained with specific goals) then the impetus is political and not smart strategically. Therefore, based upon past performance, I suspect the Russians will do it.
McGreagr said no early than 12/10 no later than 12/19 540K
are going to attack...
Clock is ticking.....
Paragraphs are your friend.