Best comparison in the US is to the Great Salt Lake which is becoming stressed and shrinking because of excessive exploitation of its feeder rivers for irrigation purposes. Exactly like the Aral Sea except less so.
Something that is not answered fully in these mini-documentaries and articles is “where does the water go”? Ok, yes, the majority is used for agriculture / irrigation, but, except for a small amount shipped out in produce sent outside of the region, I would think that it would end up evaporating, as groundwater, or (eventually) running back into the Great Salt Lake. If evaporating, it seems it would end up back in the cycle as rainwater on the watershed, much as before. As groundwater it should (eventually) help the lake too. But somewhere one of those loops must be substantially losing H2O. Hmmm...