Interesting polling technique.
Maybe off topic, but this points up, how people on the conservative side, may be reluctant to tell strangers how they plan to vote. And if people aren’t truthful with pollsters, the polls will not be accurate.
It also helps the HUGE problem that pollsters are having with polling Republicans. They refuse to participate in greater numbers with each election and this one is expected to be particularly bad after 2020. They are not inclined to cooperate with liberal pollsters.
The goons at Homeland and the FBI can just as easily use this technique as Tafalgar. Biden has called half the American people 'domestic terrorists'... we need to stay aware.
Conventional polling has deception built into it. When you ask someone what they are going to do, you introduce incentive to deceive, whether by intent or subconsciously. Respondents may engage in self deception. “I’m DEFINITELY going to vote in November!” Ah yes, good intentions, or perhaps wanting to sound like an engaged citizen, when actually you won’t show up to the polls. Things like that. When you ask a respondent how you perceive OTHERS will act, you get far more honest answers about their perceptions.
Ive heard a number of interviews with the guy who runs Trafalgar. The mainstream polling outfits still have their sample sets wrong. That’s why they were so far off in 16 and 20. Trafalgar has better methodology, hence their more accurate results. However he still says that there are “submerged republicans” they can’t pick up. He says add .5%-5% for the GOP candidate to the Trafalgar numbers, based in the particular race. It will be interesting to see on Wednesday. For now, Trafalgar has to be rated gold standard