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Iran Update, May 1, 2024

Several Iranian military leaders boasted on May 1 that they could strike Israel with a drone and missile attack much larger than what they launched on April 13 and thus inflict greater damage on Israel.[1] IRGC Commander Maj. Gen. Hossein Salami suggested that Iran could have launched two or three additional waves of drones and missiles against Israel and that each successive wave would have reduced the efficacy of US and partner air defenses.[2] IRGC Aerospace Force Commander Brig. Gen. Amir Ali Hajji Zadeh similarly asserted that his service used “only 20 percent of [its] strength” in the April 13 drone and missile attack.[3] CTP-ISW has previously assessed that Iran modeled its April 13 attack on recent Russian attacks in Ukraine and that Iran designed its strike package to defeat Israeli air defenses, even though the United States and its partners intercepted around 99 percent of the projectiles. Iranian leaders are almost certainly studying the April 13 attack to learn lessons and understand how to defeat US and partner air defenses in the future.[4]

Several senior Iranian military officers, including Salami, separately framed the April 13 drone and missile attack as successful in that it demonstrated Iranian willingness to now attack Israel directly.[5] These statements echo similar remarks from Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on April 22, during which he praised senior military commanders for their role in the attack and said that “the willpower of the Iranian nation and armed forces” matters more than how many munitions Iran launched or how many munitions hit their target.[6] These statements are also consistent with Salami and other regime officials saying in recent weeks that Iran has adopted a new policy of targeting Israel directly in retaliation for Israeli attacks on Iranian interests.[7]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-may-1-2024

844 posted on 05/01/2024 10:44:37 PM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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Jason M. Brodsky: The Gaza student protestors have emboldened America’s enemies

A leaked document recently surfaced from the IRGC’s Intelligence Organisation, one of the most repressive instruments of the Iranian state, dated March 11, 2024. It said: ‘given the recent developments in the issue of Palestine and the psychological impact of the Al-Aqsa Storm operation on Palestinian communities in European and American countries, it was determined to implement significant support measures for April 15 [pro-Palestinian marches] and other rallies with the aim to achieve political isolation [of Israel].’ The document is signed by Mohammad Kazemi, the head of the IRGC’s Intelligence Organisation, who is sanctioned by the United States.

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-gaza-student-protestors-have-emboldened-americas-enemies/


845 posted on 05/01/2024 11:30:10 PM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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