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To: RandFan
My back of the envelope projections expended from more than a week ago:

Wisconsin: Johnson will win by 4 or better.

Nevada: Laxalt has the momentum and better than +1 now.

Georgia: Herschel Walker is now ahead and will win barring fraud or October surprise.

Arizona: Masters has the momentum, has the Spanish vote or enough of it, will win.

Pennsylvania: although not mentioned in this post, Pennsylvania will be won by Oz who is closing fast and has the big Mo.

North Carolina: in the bag.

Alaska: "Republican" wins

Result: Republicans with 53 in the Senate or more if wave election.


5 posted on 10/02/2022 1:20:19 AM PDT by nathanbedford (Attack, repeat, attack! - Bull Halsey)
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To: nathanbedford

Combine your math with being content with a slimmest of majorities with as few unmalable consertvatives as required, and the Turtle’s actions would make sense.

Any division between 48-52 and 52-48 is likely satisfactory enough in his mind, though within this range he would prefer the majority AND the most controlable caucus obtainable. 55 including not only a handful of people ready to lead change, but also many people willing to implement change if obtainable, and a realization that the “big tent” becomes meaningless if it includes everything AND doesn’t need to include everything would not be a happy outcome, I believe, in the view of the resident overlords.


18 posted on 10/02/2022 3:47:59 AM PDT by Hieronymus
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To: nathanbedford

I appreciate that so many people are keeping the faith. My outlook is less pollyannish. Look deeper than the elections and the “hope” that we can regain. The globalists have effected a coup across a number of western powers, the most notable of which is the US. There are judges in the US refusing to hear anything about election integrity, including our own SCOTUS.

I believe the Democrats are low energy and putting up complete dumpster fires for candidates, because they intend to wrench the election theft to 11 and break off the knob. They know they’ll have air cover from the media, the FBI will silence dissent, and no Americans, regardless of arms, will try to stop them.

Get out and vote, but don’t be surprised if November is “razor thin.”


20 posted on 10/02/2022 4:12:24 AM PDT by rarestia (“A nation which can prefer disgrace to danger is prepared for a master, and deserves one.” -Hamilton)
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To: nathanbedford

Bump!!!


36 posted on 10/02/2022 7:52:36 AM PDT by Enterprise
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To: nathanbedford

I like your analysis.

Agree on WI, NV, GA, NC, AK. That’s 51.

AZ and PA are true tossups. I think Repubs will do better than expected and if this is a true red wave, and there are plenty of signs that it is, then those will go Repub for 53.

Then there are the seats that we have a long shot at in a big wave - NH, WA - that’s 55.

I think even liberals are having a come to Jesus moment with all the tranny stuff and rampant crime and inflation... We could be looking at a huge wipeout of Dems. It depends on how rigged the machines are in all honesty.


40 posted on 10/02/2022 9:19:50 AM PDT by imabadboy99
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