“But those like the “conservatives” in PA will not vote for Oz especially if they perceive he is down by too many points.”
The election in PA will be decided by how many votes they gin up in Philly and Pittsburgh, not by conservative turnout. And that most definitely DOES represent the “norm”.
Yes it does...and Oz should play well in the Philly suburbs, but I’ve encountered at least half a dozen so called conservatives on this site who will not vote for Oz under any circumstances. It’s a bigger problem up there than you think.