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To: chiller

Much like stocks, previous performance is no indication of future success.

Oversampling of R’s by nearly 10% makes their polling highly suspect.

There is a big difference between finding a hard to find voter to poll, and oversampling by 10%. Those are not remotely the same.

Trafalgar has consistently been oversampling GOP by about 10% this cycle.

Maybe they feel that GOP turnout will be 4 point higher than their representation of the electorate and that is why, even though that has NEVER EVER happened in the past.

IN a few weeks we’ll see where the ball lands, but Trafalgar’s gross oversampling of GOP voters and women voters as well makes their polling numbers suspect.


70 posted on 09/27/2022 11:03:52 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

Are you a Dem troll trying to suppress conservative support this election cycle...serious question!


75 posted on 09/27/2022 11:29:31 AM PDT by tbewin ( )
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To: HamiltonJay

Why bad rap the most accurate pollster we’ve seen over the last couple of cycles ?

And then explain to me how you KNOW he’s oversampling Rs ? You have no clue unless you compare to proven inaccurate polls.


91 posted on 09/27/2022 4:30:02 PM PDT by chiller (Davey Crockett said: "Be sure you're right. Then go ahead'. I'll go ahead.)
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