ARIZONA GOVERNOR POLLING TRENDS By Trafalgar Group

twitter ^ | Sep 18 | IAPolls2022

[RandFan]

ARIZONA GOVERNOR POLLING TRENDS By Trafalgar Group

August 27:

(R) Kari Lake 46.5% (+0.7)

(D) Katie Hobbs 45.8%

September 15:

(R) Kari Lake 50% (+4.4)

(D) Katie Hobbs 45.6%

✅ 3.7 point swing towards Kari Lake

[Regulator]

Just send money

https://www.karilake.com/

[joma89]

Just send money and vote in person but only on election day.

[Right Brother]

Tell your Democratic friends that to prevent voter suppression they need to vote November 9th.

[dsrtsage]

The locusts from california will cheat all they can

[apillar]

They had the Trafalgar guy on CNN, of all places, and actually gave him a pretty fair shake, pointing out that he was the most accurate and the only one that predicted a Trump victory in 2018 and Republicans doing much better than predicted in the House in 2020. I think he terrified them; he said despite other pollsters talking of a democrat surge, his polling is actually showing the exact opposite, Republicans are solidifying and expanding their leads across the country. He predicted that Republicans will win the House easily and a likely (about 70% chance) to take the Senate as well.

Thy asked him why his polling differs so much from other polling outfits. He said that basically "MAGA" Republicans are really difficult to poll because most simply refuse to participate. However, the "Establishment" anti-Trump Republicans will talk to pollsters, so the other polls are heavily weighted with establishment Republicans that tend toward moderate and liberal, which skews polling toward democrat candidates, but misses the huge swath of pro-Trump Republicans.

[NeverCheney]

Other than Tucker, does Fox News ever mention Kari Lake?

[Redmen4ever]

this girl is a pip

terrific campaigner

hope she pulls Masters across the finish line with her

[HamiltonJay]

Certainly seems to the outside observer Lake has the momentum.

However I will take folks who are on the grounds word over any outside observers

[Dan in Wichita]

Thanks for that report. Encouraging!

[Mr Rogers]

Sent money, will do so again: including Blake Masters. The Establishment sure won’t empty THEIR pockets to get the right people in office here....

[RandFan]

Masters doing OK at this stage

[SES1066]

They had the Trafalgar guy on CNN, of all places, and actually gave him a pretty fair shake, pointing out that he was the most accurate and the only one that predicted a Trump victory in 2018 and Republicans doing much better than predicted in the House in 2020.

Huh? "[P]redicted a Trump victory in 2018 ..." Yes, I hope his view of the conservative trend is correct ... but this quote is not very comforting.

[Ann Archy]

GO KARI!!

[Honorary Serb]

Go, Kari!! Make Arizona great again!!!!

[chuckee]

She is an incredibly good candidate, a human dynamo. Blake Masters, on the other hand, is suffering the disadvantage of no money. Kelly is all over the air waves with tons of money from the DNC and Peter Thiel, who was Masters campaign finance backer in the primary, has left him out to dry with no money during the general. I contributed but Masters is not going to match the Kelly war chest through small contributions. McConnell needs to get off the stick and release a load of that Senate campaign fund to Masters

[magua]

Kari Lake the triple threat. Number one great looking woman. Number two the best voice in politics today. Number three the fastest gun in the West. She will go all the way! Watch out Ronnie.

[spintreebob]

“but only on election day” might just as well say “wait til Wednesday when the polls are less crowded.”

We lose when we ignore that the rules of the game have changed.

[Tommy Revolts]

Exactly.
I am now registered as Independent and vote in person on election day.

[Magnatron]

…CNN, of all places, and actually gave him a pretty fair shake…

It’s called “Please don’t fire me Mr. Licht!”