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To: Cathi

Russia tried to run this war “on the cheap” - much like USA at the height of the “war on terror.” No mobilization, no draft. Just extend deployments, maximize use of “national guards” etc - spend a lot of money but don’t let it influence the daily life of the nation.

Russia also kept the war “limited” even in Ukraine. They left utilities on all over Ukraine, didn’t attack cities, as they expected to rule these people in the future.

both of these things seems to have stretched them very thin. They had to abandon Kharkov area when faced with massed Ukraine forces (who also took a severe beating - some estimates are 40K killed-wounded.)

Expect Russia to change its strategy. It will need to turn up the heat - a lot. Also expect the winter to be a hell for Ukrainian people. I imagine this is all playing into the hands of US deep state planners.


16 posted on 09/12/2022 9:05:47 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: PGR88

“Russia tried to run this war “on the cheap” - much like USA at the height of the “war on terror.” No mobilization, no draft. Just extend deployments, maximize use of “national guards” etc - spend a lot of money but don’t let it influence the daily life of the nation.

Russia also kept the war “limited” even in Ukraine. They left utilities on all over Ukraine, didn’t attack cities, as they expected to rule these people in the future.

both of these things seems to have stretched them very thin. They had to abandon Kharkov area when faced with massed Ukraine forces (who also took a severe beating - some estimates are 40K killed-wounded.)

Expect Russia to change its strategy. It will need to turn up the heat - a lot. Also expect the winter to be a hell for Ukrainian people. I imagine this is all playing into the hands of US deep state planners.”


I started posting these “source in the OP” posts about this well designed Mi-6 counter offensive back on September 1st.

https://t.me/s/rezident_ua/

The Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to strengthen the counteroffensive, but got into a fire bag. After a successful first day, Ukrainian troops are forced to withdraw. Russian troops inflicted a massive fire strike, rocket artillery and aircraft on the mechanized groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine thrown to the southern bank of the Ingulets through a pontoon crossing in Andreevka .

Russian troops strike at accumulations of manpower and equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the northern outskirts of Sukhoi Stavka and Kostromka . The enemy has been thrown back from Bruskinsky .

Resident
⚡️⚡️ ⚡️#Inside
Our source in the OP said that the operation #Battle_for_Kherson was developed jointly by the General Staff/British military and the Pentagon. The main task is to destroy the ammunition depots and enemy artillery, after which the second stage will begin. Now the main blow of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is inflicting on the Krivoy Rog direction in order to move the front to Kherson.

Resident
⚡️⚡️ ⚡️#Inside
Our source in the OP said that now there are 7 groups of DRGs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Energodar, who are waiting for support from Nikopol.
The operation was prepared by MI-6 specialists who have extensive experience, they landed in 5 places at the same time, near Ivanovka, the dispensary of the Dachi Volna nuclear power plant, the holiday village near the state district power station and 2 groups at the Zaporizhzhya NPP. The total number of participating in the operation is 700 special forces. It turned out that yesterday military helicopters were transferred to Dneprovka, which means that the operation became known to the Russian special services. The entire coast is being shot at by Russian military helicopters, which were not destroyed by HIMARS at the bases, but they calmly took off and cleared summer cottages near the coast of the Dnieper.

Resident
⚡️⚡️ ⚡️#Inside
Our source in the OP said that the operation to seize the ZNPP by military special forces was developed jointly by the General Staff and British intelligence, taking into account the experience of MI6. Now at the Bank meeting with the security forces, an analysis is underway of the failure of the operation and where the information was leaked to the Russian troops, who were aware of all the details of the operation.

Resident
⚡️⚡️ ⚡️#Inside
Our source in the OP said that they want to make Zaluzhny responsible for the failure of the operation to seize the ZNPP, Bankovaya is not happy with the situation with the counteroffensive and leaking secret information about the special operation. On paper, the whole plan was perfect, it was prepared by MI-6 specialists, but it turned out to be difficult to implement, who leaked information that only the General Staff and the President’s Office knew about?

This one came a few days later.
This is the latest (interesting) post from an Ukrainian site that I follow:

legitimate https://t.me/s/legitimniy/
#Layout #Rumors #Case Offensive In general, the offensive in the Kherson direction of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is going very hard, and this despite the fact that the first shock waves included only special forces and trained elite groups that were preparing all this time in Poland, the Czech Republic and Britain . Our source explains the strategy that the Office of the President was trying to implement. - the first wave: strike groups of special forces. The task is to cut through the “trenches” and bite into the defensive positions of the Russians. Approximate participation 5.000 people.

- second wave: followed immediately after the first, already consisted of regular units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which went through the spring campaign and have good combat experience. The task will be fixed in the occupied territories. Approximate participation of 10,000 people

- the third and fourth wave: is underway now, and consists of additional special forces deployed from other regions, as well as the Armed Forces of Ukraine with combat experience of at least four months. The task is to try to bite into the defensive ranks, bringing at least some territorial success, so that the OP can report. Approximate number of participants: 10,000

- the fifth wave , now they are being brought from the rear: it consists of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the territorial defense. The task is to crush the live mass of the enemy, who will run out of steam to reflect the waves. Approximate number: 20.000

As the source points out, the fighters from the first and second waves were divided into 4 sections. Only on one it turned out to crash well into the depths, but due to the failures of the partners in other places, it turned out that they climbed like a “worm”, but did not connect with another group, but fell into the “bag”.

Now draw conclusions about the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Zelensky has been preparing this offensive operation for more than three months. This was supposed to be a trump card in the negotiation case, and possibly the beginning of the fall of Russia. Therefore, now they are throwing more and more forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine into the offensive.
206.4Kviews
00:30

legitimate
#Rumors
Our source reports that Zelensky has already been informed that the Western lobby is also promoting the Head of the GUR, Kirill Budanov, into the political game.

Western lobbyists are expanding the “bench”, which will soon be equal to Zelensky in ratings and image. Many put Budanov on the same level as Zaluzny. One difference, Budanova Bankovaya has not yet tried to remove and merge, as she did not consider him as a political competitor.

Perhaps the failure of the special operation to seize the nuclear power plant in Energodar will be attributed to him, thereby knocking him out of the game right away. This is provided that he begins to more actively pump his positive image with an emphasis on political ambitions.
151.3Kviews
01:51


Two important points in my opinion. First, they spent 3 months training and equipping these troops and they had held them back until their “counter offensive plan” started. They failed in Part 1 (nuclear power plan.) Then they failed after an initial tiny success in Part 2 (Kherson.)
They semi-succeeded in Part 3 because Russia was poorly prepared for it and frankly was undermanned. This was inevitable because they are forced to stay in the minimal force level because it is against Russian law to commit conscript troops outside of Russia unless Russia is in a declared war.

This was why Russia was over eager to get the now delayed Kherson and Zap_________ referendum completed because it would allow Russia to bring conscripts into those two regions.

Russia could just declare war but it would immediately destroy the remarkable economy they have created and maintained during this conflict so it would be self-defeating.

When Russia invaded in February they never intended to stay or to take large swaths of territory so the “minimal force special operation” was sufficient. Once they finally realized after the March failure of the negotiations (instituted by BoJo) they finally understood this was not a Russia vs. Ukraine temporary tussle; but a U.S./NATO war against Russia so they are in a quandary right now.

Second important point is made by Scott Ritter. Ukraine had approximately 6 brigades prepared for this offensive...they threw it all in. All they have left besides that is approximately 4 brigades that are still in EU countries in early training.

At this point Ukraine has blown through over 15,000 of those troops. Ritter says with each new extension of territory Ukraine has to leave much of their troops flanking the side of the new territory in order to keep it and then using the continuously smaller amount left to push forward. They are out of troops to push much more. And NATO snuck in a lot of undeclared weapons for this counter offensive. They are being destroyed continuously even with Russia no longer fighting in those areas.

NATO is out of new weapons to replace these. At this point they can only “order” new weapons from the MIC most of which they won’t see for a year or more.


Expert: Authorities are preparing to change the status of a special operation in Ukraine

National News Service

The Russian authorities are preparing to change the status of the
special military operation in Ukraine. This was announced by the
political strategist Marat Bashirov. Kadyrov announced the return of
elite fighters to the Donbass “A change in the status of the NMD is
being prepared,” the expert wrote in his Telegram channel. At the
same time, Bashirov did not specify what he had in mind,
Radiotochka NSN reports. “Let the official authorities announce it,”
the political strategist said. Earlier, the State Duma proposed to give
the special operation in Ukraine the status of counter-terrorism. In
particular, such an initiative was made by the leader of the Just
Russia - For Truth party, Sergei Mironov., reminds RIA FAN. The
politician suggested that the operation to protect Donbass could
turn into a “counter-terrorist operation with all the ensuing
consequences.”


36 posted on 09/12/2022 9:26:36 AM PDT by Cathi
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