If linky no workee, read this —
1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic
is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers.
Although environmental conditions are only marginally favorable,
some gradual development of this system is expected over the next
several days and a tropical depression is likely to form later this
week. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly toward the west
and then west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph, toward the adjacent waters
of the northern Leeward Islands. Additional information on this
system can be found in high seas forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
This will be my first September in hurricane country instead of the desert or Tornado alley.
The latest GFS (06Z 08/29) has the Gulf event sort of pizzling out in northern Mexico, rather than hitting the Gulf Coast there as a hurricane.