RE: Assumes EV production level stays constant; probably will increase.
Here is where the math gets a little more fun:
If we are currently producing 1 million electric vehicles a year, and we are struggling to attain the materials to hit that number, what is the maximum number of electric vehicles we can produce without a “magic wand”?
I will be generous and say we can at best expect to TRIPLE production to 3M a year.
If we need 300M to be produced (300M / 3M/year = 100 years), that means that it will take 100 years just to replace all the vehicles on the road. Companies are already struggling to get the minerals needed for batteries.
When we try to go from 1M to 2M, it will get worse and more expensive. I can’t even image the costs and environmental impact of trying to go from 2M to 3M. If this is a reasonable assumption, then in ten years, the best we can hope to achieve in the U.S. is replacing 10% to 15% of the vehicles on the road with electric vehicles.
BTW, this does not yet discuss the ELECTRIC GRID. What energy source are we going to use to charge all these new EV’s.
It also does not discuss — HOW MUCH on average the EV’s will cost and how many percent of driving Americans can AFFORD them.
The number of electric vehicles that can be produced is limited to the supply/demand/price of rare earths and other materials that are in short supply.
Right now, China is in the process of cornering the entire market - even if it means poisoning all the fresh water in the mining area and drainage, destroying hundreds of acres of forest and jungle.
You have to pollute the world in order to drive electric.
The Klimate Kooks know that the production of EVs, rare earth mines and electric grid problems will take too long to ever accomplish. BUT they will try.
These people have a “fall back plan,” to force the population into cities to reduce the need for automobiles.
Your math is correct but the kooks know the plan.
They are truly Devil’s helpers, only interested in controlling the masses.