Are You Ready To Shake, Shiver, And Shovel? (Farmers' Almanac prediction for this winter.)

Farmers Almanac ^ | 8-1-22 | Farmers Almanac

[Jotmo]

“North Central States are forecast to experience extremely cold temperatures, (possibly 40° below zero!) especially during mid-January”

Good. It will kill off more of those F*#^ing mosquitos.

[The Great RJ]

I just received my natural gas bill for September and found my average flat rate billing amount was already being increased buy 33%. I expect that amount to again increase at the next adjustment in December.

[nascarnation]

Sort of like the hurricane predictions.
Do they EVER predict a “below average” hurricane season?

[russdawg]

agree

[daniel1212]

, analyses by researchers have found forecasts from farmers’ almanacs fall closer to a 50 percent accuracy rate, which is essentially like flipping a coin to predict the weather. A news station in Chicago reported on this in January 2021, finding the Old Farmer’s Almanac‘s accuracy in the Midwest at the time to be between 50 and 52 percent. Furthermore, predictions from the Farmer’s Almanac are often so vague that it would be hard to get certain things wrong, meaning those accuracy claims might be a bit inflated - https://www.reference.com/science/fact-check-farmers-almanac-weather-forecasts-accuracy

Here is the FA prediction of May 5, 2022 for summer 2022. The NE has been in drought, with the hottest (average day/night=80F) 2nd longest streak at or over 95F. (6). Longest streak at or over 80F . and 16th driest July on record, according to Dave Epstein.

https://www.almanac.com/summer-weather-forecast

Here is the NOAA long range forecast from June 16