Ukraine SitRep - Casualties Leak - Ukraine Admits Russian Breakthrough - Southern Front Paralysis
> New Moon of Alabama
There is an report on Ukraine making the rounds that was allegedly written by the higher command of the Ukrainian army and leaked from somewhere.
Ukrainian channels are discussing what might be a leaked data from AFU General Staff:
- The AFU are only at 43-48% strength
- medical workers at their limit
- small arms and armor are not enough
- 191 thousand soldiers were killed and wounded (only AFU, not including others)
- there is not enough hydraulics and liquid nitrogen for M777 howitzers
- no one cares about the missing - there are no statistics
- the equipment transferred by the West is running out
- western weapons are operated by amateurs, since there are no qualified specialists
- no way to repair weapons on the spot due to the lack of spares and specialists - everything is sent to Poland
BTW, even with this dire report, I would caution against predicting a decisive break in morale. As with Peski, the walking wounded are sent straight back into the trenches
There are some pictures of documents written in cyrillic script attached to the above tweet.
The documents look legit. The overall numbers and issues mentioned seem plausible to me.
[rest at link]
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/08/ukraine-sitrep-casualties-leak-ukraine-admits-russian-breakthrough-southern-front-paralysis.html
Yes, Travis, I posted that Ukrainian leak yesterday. I agree, there isn’t a single thing on the list that is suspect based on countless earlier posts that I have read from various sources.
I am posting something from a Ukrainian soldier here and right under it I am going to repost something from a Russian that covers the same time period and location. They seem to be seeing things the same way so it gives a clear picture of what it actually going on.
https://censor.net/ua/resonance/3358083/pisky_myasorubka
Author: Serhiy Gnezdilov
What is there to lose, what else can be taken from me on the sixth day of my personal hell, in Pisky, a kilometer from the first street of Donetsk, Ukraine? The bodies of those who were dearer to me than my family are lying under the heat in the trenches, broken by the 152 caliber. As I wrote earlier, 6,500 shells per damn village in less than a day.
Sands. Meat grinder 01
It’s been six such days already, and I can’t imagine how even a small number of our infantry survived in this barrage of enemy fire.
No, I’m not whining.
Two mortars 82 and 120 are working on our side.
Sometimes he wakes up and “sneezes” two artillery barrels in the direction of Donetsk.
We hardly respond. There is no counter-battery fire, from the word go, the enemy puts artillery shells in our trenches without any problems, dismantles very strong, concrete positions in tens of minutes, pushing our defense line without pause or minimal rest.
The day before yesterday, it broke, and a river of two or three hundred was poured. I will not publish any statistics, it is forbidden in our country, but you have no idea the number and percentage of losses.
This is a hell of a meat grinder, where the battalion simply holds back the onslaught with their bodies.
For almost a week, we have been waiting for at least some kind of help that would hit the enemy’s artillery, we, I repeat, are being fired with impunity with everything that the Russian military system is rich in, the aviation was working today.
I am proud of the leadership of the battalion that remained here with us. The combatant is with us, all of us are with us, contused, light three hundred, bandaged and returned after a couple of hours to the position, if you can call these bottomless ravines that way.
There is a war going on.
But without a counter-battery fight, it turns into a senseless meat grinder, where an insane amount of our infantry is ground up in a day.
Did you really want the truth? Here it is, the naked truth.
The reserve goes to the position, closes the breakthrough, and after five minutes only one of the 15 people remains intact.
The bodies lie. If it’s a light 300, maybe you’ll be lucky, you’ll faint, and you’ll get out on foot, you’ll reach the medics.
They just took the three hundredth. He shouted all the way: - Where is the support? Where is the artillery? Why were we abandoned? Why didn’t anyone cover us?
I don’t know, my friend, why no one covered us... He screams, and I’m ashamed that I’m still safe and sound, only a couple of good deafening.
I threw up, I’m sorry, and I’m back in action.
All reserves are destroyed, military equipment is on fire, the enemy approaches and without any problems occupies our positions after another barrage of artillery.
Right now we are losing the Sands, all our human and material resources are almost exhausted.
Denys, a resident of Mariupol, who told me “well, I believe the arrestee, we will return everything very soon” is dead. He was wounded twice, they tied him up right in the trench, they told him, Denchyk, go to the evacuation, but he answered “guys, I won’t abandon you.”
Both wounded for the first time, and after the second wounding, he continued to shoot back.
We still haven’t taken his body. On the ruins of the Sands, he lies with his arms outstretched and his gaze frozen. He asks for revenge. How can I refuse his latest request? How can we all leave Dan?
I believe that Dimka survived after all. Because he could not die, having recently returned from the hospital, having just proposed to his girlfriend. They say that after one of the parishes he simply disappeared. It fell asleep with earth. But, I believe that this is a mistake, and he is alive. Foolish hope and expectation.
I know, my country does not like to think aloud. But, I was left with no choice between victory and arrest. The truth should be heard, not whispers in the kitchen. Of course, he will fly separately for this post, because how? Yes, does the state lie to its own citizens?
I won’t be surprised if someone says today: “Kremlin agent Sirozh talked about the brilliant plan of the victors on the Donetsk front, let’s hang him on the Peacemaker.”
I amused to say that everything is under control. Now in Pisky, everything is not under anyone’s control, but for some reason the situation is being hushed up.
Ring broken bells while we cover the Sands with bodies.
We need artillery.
Give us something here to hold on to.
Sergey Hnezdilov
Джерело: https://censor.net/ua/r3358083 https://twitter.com/DeuNachrichten Every day it is getting more and more obvious that the brunt of the fighting today is going along the Solidar, Bahkmut, Adveyevka, Donetsk, Maryinka line. Near Bahkmut Russian troops have been stubbornly advancing throughout the day. According to the General Staff of Ukraine, its last evening report, Russian troops were able to take positions in Semigorye, took, according to their data a part of the settlement.
Usually when the Ukrainian side says about losing part of a settlement it often turns out that they have lost the whole. So far I have no data that the entire Semigorye have been taken. Nevertheless according to the same Summary of the General Staff there are attacks in the area of Zaitsevo and Kodema we see that they attempt to access Bahkmut from the south in order to then start the battle inside the city already.
Ukrainian sources say that Zaluzhny reported to Zelensky the other day that the battles for Bahkmut inside the city itself, according to his calculations may begin next week. This is already becoming inevitable, given that the main reserves are now going into the Southern direction. Some of the artillery systems have been removed from here. There is nothing the Ukrainian armed forces can do here to counter the might of the Russian offenses.
Reserves are running out and the tactics that I spoke about a couple days ago, how Russian troops are attacking today near ADveyevka and Donetsk directions (by the way they took several strong points in the area of Peski and Kras nogorokva took some positions in the area north of Adveyevka - all this puts an extra pressure on the Ukrainian army and it brings results.
Because the losses that the enemy is suffering on this entire contact line (and our units are not really in a hurry to go forward, they are just grinding reserves here and taking new positions only when the enemy stops offering any resistance at all) that is the ratio of losses is now to the level of 1.15; 1.20 and it is clear that the Ukrainians cannot bear such losses for a long time. If the Russian command is able to maintain such an intensity of fire on this entire line for at least a week or two, it is obvious that at first the front will float and the enemy will roll back to the northwest quite quickly, surrendering Bahkmut and Solidar and in August we already see the battle for Savyansk and Kramatorsk already.